EXCLUSIVE
Trump
admin sends tough private message to oil companies on Venezuela
The White
House has told companies they must rebuild Venezuela's crude-pumping
infrastructure if they want compensation for assets seized by Caracas.
By Ben
Lefebvre, Zack Colman and James Bikales
01/03/2026
02:35 PM EST
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/01/03/trump-venezuela-oil-us-companies-return-00709782
American
oil companies have long hoped to recover the assets that Venezuela’s
authoritarian regime ripped from them decades ago.
Now the
Trump administration is offering to help them achieve that aim — with one major
condition.
Administration
officials have told oil executives in recent weeks that if they want
compensation for their rigs, pipelines and other seized property, then they
must be prepared to go back into Venezuela now and invest heavily in reviving
its shattered petroleum industry, two people familiar with the administration’s
outreach told POLITICO on Saturday. The outlook for Venezuela’s shattered oil
infrastructure is one of the major questions following the U.S. military action
that captured leader Nicolás Maduro.
But
people in the industry said the administration’s message has left them still
leery about the difficulty of rebuilding decayed oil fields in a country where
it’s not even clear who will lead the country for the foreseeable future.
“They’re
saying, ‘you gotta go in if you want to play and get reimbursed,’” said one
industry official familiar with the conversations.
The offer
has been on the table for the last 10 days, the person said. “But the
infrastructure currently there is so dilapidated that no one at these companies
can adequately assess what is needed to make it operable.”
President
Donald Trump suggested in a televised address Saturday morning that he fully
expects U.S. oil companies to pour big money into Venezuela.
“We’re
going to have our very large United States oil companies, the biggest anywhere
in the world, go in, spend billions of dollars, fix the badly broken
infrastructure, the oil infrastructure and start making money for the country,”
Trump said as he celebrated Maduro’s capture.
It’s been
five decades since the Venezuelan government first nationalized the oil
industry and nearly 20 years since former President Hugo Chávez expanded the
asset seizures. The country has some of the largest oil reserves in the world,
but its petroleum infrastructure has decayed amid years of mismanagement and
meager investment.
Initial
thoughts among U.S. oil industry officials and market analysts who spoke to
POLITICO regarding a post-Maduro Venezuela focused more on questions than
answers.
The
administration has so far not laid out what its long-term plan looks like, or
even if it has one, said Bob McNally, a former national security and energy
adviser to President George W. Bush who now leads the energy and geopolitics
consulting firm Rapidan Energy Group.
“It’s not
clear there’s been a specific plan beyond the principal decision that in a
post-Maduro, Trump-compliant regime that the U.S. companies — energy and others
— will be at the top of the list” to reenter the country, McNally said. He
added: “What the regime looks like, what the plans are for getting there, that
has not been fully fleshed out yet.”
A central
concern for U.S. industry executives is whether the administration can
guarantee the safety of the employees and equipment that companies would need
to send to Venezuela, how the companies would be paid, whether oil prices will
rise enough to make Venezuelan crude profitable and the status of Venezuela’s
membership in the OPEC oil exporters cartel. U.S. benchmark oil prices were at
$57 a barrel, the lowest since the end of the pandemic, as of the market’s
close on Friday.
The White
House did not immediately reply to questions about its plan for the oil
industry, but Trump said during Saturday’s appearance at his Mar-a-Lago estate
in Florida that he expected oil companies to put up the initial investments.
“We’re
going to rebuild the oil infrastructure, which requires billions of dollars
that will be paid for by the oil companies directly,” Trump said. “They will be
reimbursed for what they’re doing, but it’s going to be paid, and we’re going
to get the oil flowing.”
However,
the administration’s outreach to U.S. oil company executives remains “at its
best in the infancy stage,” said one industry executive familiar with the
discussions, who was granted anonymity to describe conversations with the
president’s team.
“In
preparation for regime change, there had been engagement. But it’s been
sporadic and relatively flatly received by the industry,” this person said. “It
feels very much a shoot-ready-aim exercise.”
Venezuela’s
oil output has fallen to less than a third of the 3.5 million barrels per day
that it produced in the 1970s, and the infrastructure that is used to tap into
its 300 billion barrels of reserves has deteriorated in the past two decades.
“Will the
U.S. be able to attract U.S. oilfield services to go to Venezuela?” the
executive asked. “Maybe. It would have to involve the services companies being
able to contract directly with the U.S. government.”
Talks
with administration officials over the past several days also involved the fate
of the state oil company, which is known as PdVSA, this person added.
“PdVSA
will not be denationalized in some way and broken,” this person said.
“Definitely it’s going to be wholesale remaking of PdVSA leadership, but at
least at this point, there is no plan for denationalization or auctioning it
off. It’s in the best position to keep production flowing.”
Chevron,
the sole major oil company still working in Venezuela under a special license
from the U.S. government, said in a statement Saturday that it “remains focused
on the safety and wellbeing of our employees, as well as the integrity of our
assets.
“We
continue to operate in full compliance with all relevant laws and regulations,”
Chevron spokesperson Bill Turenne said in a statement.
Evanan
Romero, a Houston-based oil consultant involved in the effort to bring U.S. oil
producers back to Venezuela, said in a text message that Saturday’s events laid
the groundwork for American oil companies to return “very soon.”
Romero is
part of a roughly 400-person committee, mostly made up of former employees of
the Venezuelan state oil company Petróleos de Venezuela, that formed about a
year ago to strategize about how to revive the country’s oil industry under a
new government.
The
committee, which is not directly affiliated with opposition leader María Corina
Machado’s camp, is debating the role any new government should have in the oil
sector. Some members favor keeping the industry under the control of the
government while others contend that international oil majors would return only
under a free market system, Romero said.
Ultimately,
the “orderliness” in any transition will determine U.S. investment and reentry
in Venezuela, said Carrie Filipetti, who was deputy assistant secretary for
Cuba and Venezuela and the deputy special representative for Venezuela at the
State Department in Trump’s first administration.
“If you
were to see a disorderly transition, obviously I think that would make it very
challenging for American companies to enter Venezuela,” said Filipetti, who is
now executive director of nonpartisan foreign policy group The Vandenberg
Coalition. “It’s not just about getting rid of Maduro. It’s also about making
sure that the legitimate opposition comes into power. ”
Richard
Goldberg, who led the White House’s National Energy Dominance Council until
August, said the Trump administration could offer financial incentives to coax
companies back into Venezuela. That could include the Export-Import Bank and
the U.S. International Development Finance Corp., whose remit Congress expanded
in December, underwriting investments to account for political and security
risks.
Promoting
U.S. investment in Venezuela would keep China — a major consumer of Venezuela’s
oil — out of the nation and cut off the flow of the discounted crude that China
buys from Venezuela’s ghost fleets of tankers that skirt U.S. sanctions.
“There’s
an incentive for the Americans to get there first and to ensure it’s American
companies at the forefront, and not anybody else’s,” said Goldberg.
It’s
unclear how much the Trump administration could accelerate investment in
Venezuela, said Landon Derentz, an energy analyst at the Atlantic Council who
worked in the Obama, Trump and Biden administrations.
Many
consider Venezuela a longer-term play given current low prices of $50 per
barrel oil and the huge capital investments needed to modernize the
infrastructure, Derentz said. But as U.S. shale oil regions that have made the
country the world’s leading oil producer peter out over time, he said, it would
become increasingly economical to export Venezuelan heavy crude to the Gulf
Coast refineries built specifically to process it.
“Venezuela
would be a crown jewel if the above-ground risk is removed. I have companies
saying let’s see where this lands,” said Derentz, who served in Trump’s
National Security Council during his first term. “I don’t see anything that
gives me the sense that this is a ripe opportunity.”

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