The
U.S.-Ukraine Mineral Deal: What We Know
The
agreement came after months of fraught negotiations.
Andrew E.
Kramer Maria Varenikova Constant Méheut Kim Barker
By Andrew E.
KramerMaria VarenikovaConstant Méheut and Kim Barker
May 1, 2025
https://www.nytimes.com/article/ukraine-mineral-deal-us-trump.html
Ukraine
signed a deal giving the United States control over a share of its future
revenue from natural resources, a long-awaited agreement that Kyiv hopes will
clear the way for continued U.S. support.
The
announcement late on Wednesday that the deal had been signed came after months
of fraught negotiations — including an explosive Oval Office confrontation — as
the Trump administration tries to broker an end to Ukraine’s three-year war
with Russia.
The
agreement, which involves creating a joint investment fund between the
countries, is intended to give President Trump a personal stake in the
country’s fate while addressing his concerns that the United States has
provided Kyiv with a blank check to try to withstand Russia’s invasion. It
could also clear the way for more consequential talks on U.S. military backing
for Ukraine and on the terms of a possible truce with Russia.
Here’s
what we know:
What’s in
the deal?
Sticking
points along the way
What
happened in the Oval Office
Ukraine’s
mineral resources
What
happens next?
What’s in
the deal?
The mineral
deal will create a U.S.-controlled investment fund that would receive revenue
from Ukraine’s natural resources, according to a copy of the agreement made
public on Thursday.
It appears
that Ukraine managed to get some of what it wanted, but not everything.
The Trump
administration had said in March that it wanted Ukraine to repay assistance
given during the war with its mineral wealth — which would have financially
hurt Ukraine for generations. The idea of treating that aid as debt was removed
in the final deal. And the deal appears to specifically keep the door open for
Ukraine to eventually join the European Union.
There was no
mention of a U.S. security guarantee in the text of the nine-page deal that
Ukraine’s government published on Thursday.
Kyiv and
Washington will jointly manage the fund, which will be financed with revenues
from new projects in critical minerals, oil and gas — not from projects that
are already operating.
Although the
agreement does not treat past aid to Ukraine as debt that the country needs to
repay, it does say that future military aid, including weapons and training,
will be treated as a U.S. contribution to the fund — meaning that Ukraine will
need to match future aid with resource wealth.
The
agreement does not change the management of Ukraine’s state-owned energy
companies. All natural resources will still be considered Ukraine’s property.
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In addition,
the agreement says that the United States and Ukraine want to ensure that
countries “that have acted adversely to Ukraine in the conflict do not benefit
from the reconstruction of Ukraine” once peace is reached — in other words,
Russia.
Ukraine’s
parliament still has to ratify the agreement, which will probably happen in the
next two weeks, lawmakers said on Thursday.
Sticking
points along the way
Early drafts
of the deal had swiveled between what critics called a brazen extortion of
Ukraine by the Trump administration and versions that included points sought by
Ukraine, such as references to U.S. support for postwar security guarantees.
Without
those guarantees, Ukraine said, Russia could quickly violate any cease-fire or
restart the war after regrouping and rearming. Mr. Trump has said that Ukraine
should look to Europe, not the United States, for such security guarantees.
What
happened in the Oval Office
The deal was
initially meant to be signed when President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine
visited Washington in February. But a signing ceremony was abruptly canceled
after Mr. Trump and Mr. Vance castigated the Ukrainian president in the Oval
Office for what they said was not being grateful enough for U.S. support and
sought to press him into making a peace deal. Mr. Zelensky was abruptly asked
to leave the White House, and the United States temporarily froze all military
assistance and intelligence sharing with Ukraine.
Since then,
Mr. Zelensky worked to smooth relations. And both he and Mr. Trump signaled
that a deal could still be reached.
Ukraine’s
mineral resources
Ukraine
controls more than 100 major deposits of critical minerals, according to a
study by the Kyiv School of Economics, along with modest oil and natural gas
reserves.
Critical
mineral deposits in Ukraine
Titanium,
used in construction, airplanes, orthopedic implants and as an additive in
paint and cosmetics, including sunscreen, among many other things. Titanium
mines in central Ukraine account for about 6 percent of global production,
according to Ukrainian media.
Uranium is
used in nuclear power plants and nuclear weapons. Ukraine has Europe’s largest
reserves.
Oil and
natural gas fields dot several regions of Ukraine, and surveys conducted before
the war found offshore natural gas reserves.
Lithium, a
crucial element in batteries, including those in electric vehicles and in other
industrial products, including some medications. Ukraine has a third of
Europe’s total reserves, although some sites are in war-contested areas. Before
the war with Russia, Ukrainian officials suggested to Elon Musk that he invest
in Ukrainian lithium mines.
Rare earths,
a group of more than a dozen metals, much less abundant than titanium or
lithium, that are used in many high-tech sectors, including green energy,
electronics and aerospace. Ukraine has substantial reserves that are mostly
untapped, and it is unclear how expensive they would be to extract.
Manganese,
used for steel smelting.
Zirconium,
used in the ceramics industry, nuclear fuel rods and artificial diamonds.
Graphite,
used in steel manufacturing and electric motors. Ukraine is one of the world’s
leading producers.
What happens
next?
All along,
Ukraine has been intent on getting a seat at the negotiating table with Moscow
and assuring safeguards against future Russian aggression.
Mr. Zelensky
has long made clear that the agreement on natural resources is not an end in
itself. He is seeking continued American support.
Alan
Rappeport and Peter Baker contributed reporting.
Andrew E.
Kramer is the Kyiv bureau chief for The Times, who has been covering the war in
Ukraine since 2014.
Maria
Varenikova covers Ukraine and its war with Russia.
Constant
Méheut reports on the war in Ukraine, including battlefield developments,
attacks on civilian centers and how the war is affecting its people.
Kim Barker
is a Times reporter writing in-depth stories about the war in Ukraine.
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