30% of young Portuguese leave the country
More than
850,000 people born in Portugal aged between 15 and 39 have chosen to live and
work outside the country.
By TPN, in
News, Portugal · 12 Jan 2024 ·
https://www.theportugalnews.com/news/2024-01-12/30-of-young-portuguese-leave-the-country/85048
Around 30%
of those born in Portugal aged between 15 and 39 decided to emigrate. According
to figures from the Emigration Observatory and reported by Expresso, this
percentage corresponds to more than 850,000 people.
Rui Pena
Pires, the scientific coordinator of the Emigration Observatory, notes that
this number is “very high” and has a “very complicated effect on fertility”.
Births of children to Portuguese mothers abroad “already amount to around 20%
of total births in Portugal”, he revealed.
30% of
young people born in Portugal live outside country
Portugal
News January 12, 2024
Almost a
third of Portuguese women of ‘fertile age’ live abroad
Almost 30%
of young people born in Portugal live outside the country.
More than
850,000 young Portuguese (between the ages of 15-39) have left the country and
currently live abroad – almost a third of them being ‘women of a fertile age’.
The exodus
will have a “brutal effect on national fertility and the labour market”, warn
experts.
These are
salient points coming out of the “Atlas of Portuguese Emigration”, compiled and
ready to be presented next week by the Observatory of Migrations.
What it
boils down to is that Portugal has the highest level of emigration in Europe,
and one of the highest in the world, says Expresso, running the story as its
broadsheet edition cover story this week.
“The
continuous wave of exits over the year has added to the number of Portuguese
(already) living abroad, accelerating the loss of the younger population”.
The
Observatory of Migrations’ report used data – to come to what it admits is an
estimate – on age-groups of foreign resident communities in “a sample of
countries most chosen by Portuguese emigrés”, explains the paper.
“Just since
2001, more than 75,000 people on average have left the country every year. The
peak came between 2010 and 2019, hitting its highest point in 2013 when 120,000
Portuguese left the country (…) Right now, there are roughly 2.3 million
Portuguese living abroad, of which 70% are aged between 15-39 years old”.
As Público
describes it: “In 20 years, 15% of the Portuguese population emigrated”.
Successive
economic crises have governed young people’s expectations
No surprises
here: the reasons given for the exodus of the country’s most productive are
invariably ‘successive economic crises’ : other countries offer “projects for
the future” of Portugal’s younger generations.
There is the
argument that it has ‘always been thus’. But the problem is that the situation
has reached a real crunch point (a bit like the lack of rain has finally been
recognised for having depleted underground reserves).
So how can
Portugal reverse the continual loss of those who are “the most dynamic”? Again
no surprises: experts are divided between those who believe political solutions
are needed, and those who accept it is a problem that can never be fixed.
Supports
like the repayment of university fees when students complete their studies and
continue working in Portugal “can be important to stem the flow of leavers”,
but they are not enough.
“Intervention
has to be made at employment level, with salaries, given that in Portugal many
recent graduates earn little more than the minimum wage”, José Carlos Marques,
a sociologist specialising in emigration, tells Expresso.
Geographer
Jorge Malheiros ‘agrees’, but believes the volume of departures will never
diminish substantially, by dint of the fact that Portugal IS “a small economy”
(with small horizons).
Malheiros’
feeling is that the country should have active strategies to “capture
immigrants”.
This is in
spite of the fact that Portugal has never had a level of foreign immigration
that is higher.
For six
years, foreigners have been replenishing the country that its own citizens are
leaving; they have been having babies; they have been contributing to the
social security system; they have been mitigating demographic losses – but they
have not been filling the gap in terms of ‘lost qualifications’.
“The loss of
qualified Portuguese who leave the country is greater than the qualified
foreigners who enter it”, admits Malheiros
And this is
the real conundrum. If the country is to have active strategies to “capture
immigrants” with qualifications, then, added to the immigrants already here
without qualifications, Portugal risks compromising its identity in order to
survive as an economy.
Which
countries do Portuguese emigrés prefer?
France
continues to be the country with the largest Portuguese community (around
600,000 live in France, 40% of them in Paris); then there are sizeable
Portuguese communities in Switzerland, Luxembourg (particularly the
Esch-sur-Alzette canton); the UK, Spanish Galicia, Holland, Denmark, Sweden and
Norway – all of these being able to offer much higher salaries than tend to be
paid in Portugal.
As the
Observatory’s report concedes, “beyond the feeling of loss” for the country,
“there is one of fragility”.
According to
the entity’s scientific coordinator Rui Pena Pires, in migratory terms,
Portugal is “closer to countries of Eastern Europe (he cites Bulgaria and
Romania). ND
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