From ‘Be Cool!’ to ‘Getting Yippy’: Inside Trump’s Reversal on Tariffs
Economic turmoil, particularly a rapid rise in government bond yields, caused President Trump to reverse course on the steep levies.
Tyler Pager Maggie Haberman Ana Swanson Jonathan Swan
By Tyler
PagerMaggie HabermanAna Swanson and Jonathan Swan
Reporting
from Washington
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/09/us/politics/trump-tariff-pause-be-cool.html
April 9,
2025
For the past
week, President Trump has been urging calm in the face of the financial chaos
that he created and resisting calls for him to rethink his approach.
“I know what
the hell I’m doing,” he told Republicans on Tuesday as the massive tariffs he
had imposed sent global markets into a tailspin. “BE COOL!” he said in a social
media post on Wednesday morning. “Everything is going to work out well.”
At 9:37 a.m.
Wednesday, the president was still bullish on his policy, posting on Truth
Social: “THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!!”
But in the
end, it was the markets that got him to reverse course.
The economic
turmoil, particularly a rapid rise in government bond yields, caused Mr. Trump
to blink on Wednesday afternoon and pause his “reciprocal” tariffs for most
countries for the next 90 days, according to four people with direct knowledge
of the president’s decision.
Asked to
explain the decision, Mr. Trump told reporters: “Well, I thought that people
were jumping a little bit out of line. They were getting yippy, you know, they
were getting a little bit yippy, a little bit afraid.”
Behind the
scenes, senior members of Mr. Trump’s team had feared a financial panic that
could spiral out of control and potentially devastate the economy. Treasury
Secretary Scott Bessent and others on the president’s team, including Vice
President JD Vance, had been pushing for a more structured approach to the
trade conflict that would focus on isolating China as the worst actor while
still sending a broader message that Mr. Trump was serious about cracking down
on trade imbalances.
After his
reversal on social media, Mr. Trump’s team was put in the unenviable position
of trying to spin the media that this was the plan all along, a brilliant
strategy straight out of the pages of the president’s best-selling book, “The
Art of the Deal.” Mr. Bessent went so far as to deny that the bond market had
driven the change.
When Mr.
Trump came out to explain his decision on Wednesday, however, he undercut both
Mr. Bessent and Karoline Leavitt, the White House press secretary, citing the
jittery market and saying he was acting “instinctively, more than anything
else.”
Many of Mr.
Trump’s most senior advisers and officials were unaware of this major shift in
policy until the last minute, because as recently as Wednesday morning Mr.
Trump was still indicating he was sticking to his previous plan.
Jamieson
Greer, the U.S. trade representative, only learned of Mr. Trump’s decision
while defending the original tariffs before a House committee, a person
familiar with the situation said.
Mr. Bessent
played a significant role in steering the president toward the pause. But the
real credit, Mr. Trump’s advisers admit privately, should go to the bond
markets. Mr. Trump’s decision was driven by fear that his tariffs gamble could
quickly turn into a financial crisis. And unlike the two previous crashes of
the past 20 years — the global financial crisis of 2008 and the pandemic of
2020 — this crisis would have been directly attributable to only one man.
Market
Meltdown
The day Mr.
Trump announced his plan for sweeping tariffs, he promised to “make America
wealthy again.”
But the
details of the plan and its goals remained foggy. In the run-up to the tariff
announcement last week, Mr. Trump’s economic team debated until the last minute
about what form the tariffs should take, with Mr. Bessent and Commerce
Secretary Howard Lutnick both privately arguing for more limited tariffs,
according to two people familiar with the plans.
Peter
Navarro, the White House trade adviser, was the most aggressive of Mr. Trump’s
advisers, insisting on a tariff strategy that he claimed would create a
revolution in American manufacturing. The Office of the U.S. Trade
Representative came up with its own formula for calculating tariff rates for
other countries, based on their tariff rates plus an estimate of other trade
barriers. But the president ultimately decided to go with a formula based on
the trade deficit, two people familiar with the conversations said.
When the
tariffs finally were announced last Wednesday, the markets tanked.
By Sunday,
Mr. Bessent decided that he needed a private audience with the president. In
less than 24 hours, the markets would reopen and investors were predicting a
“Black Monday.”
Mr. Bessent
rode with Mr. Trump back to Washington on Air Force One. During the flight, Mr.
Bessent advised the president to focus on negotiating with other countries,
saying Mr. Trump is the most deft negotiator there is, four people briefed on
the discussion said. But he also stressed that Mr. Trump needed to articulate
the endgame of his plan because the markets needed more certainty.
Mr. Trump
pushed back, the people said, emphasizing the pain was “short term,” one of the
people said. But Mr. Bessent said that could mean many months in market terms.
The
president apparently absorbed only part of the message. On Monday morning, he
drafted a Truth Social post to say “talks” were going to take place with
countries; he changed it to say that they would “negotiate.”
By Monday
afternoon, he told reporters: “Virtually every country wants to negotiate.”
But there
was still no coherent expression about the endgame: Did the president want to
use the levies as a negotiating tactic to cut better deals for the United
States? Or was he intent on leaving them in place as a blunt instrument to
raise revenues and force manufacturing back to the United States?
Looking
for Clarity
Although Mr.
Trump’s strategy for the tariffs was still unclear, that he would move
aggressively to impose them should not have been a surprise.
Mr. Trump
campaigned on putting in place a universal base line tariff, and his advisers
made clear that the president would follow his instincts after a first term in
which Mr. Trump believed his advisers tried to block him at every turn.
Taking
office for a second time, Mr. Trump has told advisers that he wants to do it
his way this time. He has surrounded himself with advisers who are believers in
his instincts and he has said repeatedly that he views tariffs as the tool to
rescue the economy from foreign countries that have taken advantage of the
United States for decades.
Investors,
Wall Street executives and major donors convinced themselves either that Mr.
Trump was bluffing, or would be talked out of his most aggressive tariff
proposals. Some of his advisers tried. Mr. Lutnick argued for exemptions for
the auto industry almost immediately. Others wanted exemptions for goods that
aren’t sufficiently produced in the United States, such as coffee.
Meanwhile,
economists were warning that stiff tariffs, by raising the prices of imported
goods, would badly undercut another campaign promise: that Mr. Trump would
bring down inflation.
But Mr.
Trump has a theory on tariffs that has been hardened over 40 years, one that’s
frozen in place and is resistant to data that conflicts with his gut. Over many
years, when he has been presented with statistics that don’t comport with his
instincts, he demands that people find him alternative information that backs
up his beliefs.
So he plowed
ahead, even while his advisers found themselves struggling to communicate to
the public about a policy that they didn’t fully understand. Aides held
multiple meetings with Mr. Trump and his senior advisers to try to find a way
to convince the public that the economic penalties were a good idea.
For a while,
the tariffs created a dynamic Mr. Trump most enjoys — global leaders coming to
him and, as he said on Tuesday night, “kissing my ass” in search of deals.
Administration officials said that more than 75 countries had reached out to
them.
But the
warning signs became too severe to ignore.
Reversing
Course
Soon after
Mr. Trump announced the reversal, Scott Bessent, right, the Treasury secretary,
and Karoline Leavitt, second from right, the White House press secretary, tried
to create the impression that Mr. Trump’s retreat was the plan all
along.Credit...Eric Lee/The New York Times
On Wednesday
morning, Mr. Trump encouraged Americans to buy stocks and urged companies to
move to the United States. It was not clear, at that point, that hours later he
would abruptly change course and place a 90-day pause on many of the tariffs.
The financial markets soared after the reversal, leaving questions about
whether Mr. Trump’s earlier recommendation of a buying opportunity amounted to
a signal that some investors might have used to cash in on the sharp rise in
stock prices.
But soon
after Mr. Trump posted his missive on social media, he met in the Oval Office
with Mr. Bessent, Mr. Lutnick and Kevin Hassett, the director of the National
Economic Council. They discussed with the president the 10-year Treasury yield,
emphasizing concern about the health of the broader U.S. financial system. Mr.
Trump, in particular, understood what the rise in bond yields would mean for
banks and their long-term lending, a topic he understands intimately from his
years running a real estate company.
The tariffs
had triggered a sharp sell-off in U.S. government bond markets and the dollar,
which investors usually see as safe-haven assets in times of turmoil. After Mr.
Trump announced the new tariffs last week, economists on Wall Street quickly
raised their forecasts for inflation and lowered those for growth, with many
warnings about a recession. Trillions of dollars of stock market value vanished
in a matter of days.
At 1:18 p.m.
on Wednesday, Mr. Trump announced on Truth Social that he would back off the
“reciprocal” tariffs for 90 days while increasing tariffs on China to 125
percent. The pause, along with leaving a 10 percent tariff rate in place for
most countries, was a version of what a number of people had urged Mr. Trump to
put in place for days.
Speaking
with reporters soon after Mr. Trump announced the reversal, Mr. Bessent and Ms.
Leavitt both tried to create the impression that this was the culmination of a
carefully laid plan — to isolate China as the main culprit inflicting pain on
American workers.
“This was
his strategy all along,” Mr. Bessent said.
Ms. Leavitt,
the White House press secretary, tried to frame the policy backflip as a work
of negotiation genius.
“Many of you
in the media clearly missed the ‘Art of the Deal,’ you clearly failed to see
what President Trump is doing here,” she said. “You tried to say that the rest
of the world would be moved closer to China, when in fact, we’ve seen the
opposite effect. The entire world is calling the United States of America, not
China, because they need our markets, they need our consumers, and they need
this president in the Oval Office to talk to them, and that’s exactly why more
than 75 countries have called.”
Mr. Trump’s
senior adviser, Stephen Miller, took the retrofitting to another level on X:
“You have been watching the greatest economic master strategy from an American
President in history.”
Mr. Bessent
claimed the 90-day pause was Mr. Trump’s idea and insisted the decision had
nothing to do with trillions of dollars of U.S. wealth being wiped out of the
stock market after the president’s tariff announcement last week.
“I have
nothing that says that, and we actually had quite a good 10-year auction
today,” he told reporters when asked how much the president’s decision was
driven by the U.S. bond sell-off and whether China was dumping its vast
holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds.
Mr. Bessent
said the president was pausing the tariffs because the administration was
receiving so many requests to negotiate, and each negotiation would be
“bespoke” and therefore “take some time.”
The Treasury
secretary did not respond directly to a question about why investors would
trust that this was the final word from Mr. Trump after so many changes.
Mr. Trump’s
actions cover only the next 90 days. As for any additional tariff exemptions,
the president refused to give the clarity many investors are seeking.
Asked on
Wednesday how he would decide on any further exemptions, Mr. Trump said:
“Instinctively, more than anything else. I mean, you almost can’t take a pencil
to paper. It’s really more of an instinct, I think, than anything else.”
A correction
was made on April 9, 2025: An earlier version of this article incorrectly
described the timing of President Trump’s “reciprocal tariffs.” They were
announced last week, not put into effect.
When we
learn of a mistake, we acknowledge it with a correction. If you spot an error,
please let us know at nytnews@nytimes.com.Learn more
Tyler Pager
is a White House correspondent for The Times, covering President Trump and his
administration.
Maggie
Haberman is a White House correspondent, reporting on the second,
nonconsecutive term of Donald J. Trump.
Ana Swanson
covers trade and international economics for The Times and is based in
Washington. She has been a journalist for more than a decade.
Jonathan
Swan is a White House reporter covering the administration of Donald J. Trump.
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