Will the
real Trump whisperer please stand up?
By Gabriel
Gavin
13 mins read
December 24,
2024 7:00 am CET
https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/brussels-playbook/will-the-real-trump-whisperer-please-stand-up/
Brussels
Playbook
By GABRIEL
GAVIN
with ZOYA
SHEFTALOVICH
WHILE YOU
WERE SLEEPING: Bill Clinton was hospitalized for “testing and observation” in
Washington after developing a fever, the former U.S. president’s spokesperson
said. Details here.
GOOD MORNING
and goodwill to all Playbook readers. It’s Tuesday, it’s Christmas Eve and it’s
the second day of the end-of-year break for the Commission and the European
Parliament. I’m Gabriel Gavin, back to spread some festive cheer and tell you
everything you need to know about the Brussels bubble (or should that be
bauble?). Further down in today’s newsletter you’ll get a peek underneath
lawmakers’ Christmas trees, where lobbyists have been busy placing carefully
wrapped gifts. But first …
DRIVING THE
DAY: TRUMP WHISPERING Share on
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NEW YEAR,
NEW ECR: If you thought the European Parliament couldn’t shift much further to
the right, think again. Mateusz Morawiecki — Poland’s former prime minister and
likely next chief of the right-wing European Conservatives and Reformists —
wants to join forces with the conservative European People’s Party and
far-right Patriots for Europe to enforce a more right-wing agenda across the
EU.
On the menu
for 2025: Hacking away at green legislation, slashing “red tape” to pave the
way for Europe’s reindustrialization and acting as “Europe translator” for U.S.
President-elect Donald Trump.
Already in
charge: “Basically we have the majority, or close to the majority,” Morawiecki
told Playbook’s Nick Vinocur in an interview, referring to the combined forces
of the ECR, EPP and Patriots. This presents an opportunity to ramp up “informal
cooperation” with the EPP “in all areas related to the economy,” he added.
Political
tightrope: Any sort of collaboration between the ECR and the center-right is
controversial, especially for the German contingent inside the EPP. Morawiecki
was careful to say he hadn’t spoken directly to EPP boss Manfred Weber “in the
last few months.”
Reminder:
The Law and Justice party leader is likely to take over the ECR leadership from
Italian PM Giorgia Meloni in January. He said the upcoming legislature opens up
chances for “practical” and “technical” cooperation between these groups given
“commonalities about how the EPP is changing its view on the real economy.”
The what
spirit? Specifically, Morawiecki said the parties could work together to free
up Europe’s “Schumpeterian spirit” by hacking away at the Green Deal, the
flagship reform of European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen’s first
term. (Joseph Schumpeter was an economist whose theories see technological
development as the key driver of economic growth, and neo-Schumpterians tend to
favor less regulation.)
Un-greening
agenda: The Green Deal “has contributed enormously to the loss of
competitiveness across Europe,” Morawiecki said. “Look at which country is
exporting most of its green production into Europe: It’s China. Wind turbines
coming from China. Electric vehicles — it’s China. Electric vehicle batteries —
it’s predominantly China.”
Do
regulatory bonfires produce CO2? Europe’s aim of phasing out the combustion
engine by 2035 was “too little too late” and Brussels should take steps to
lower the price of carbon emissions. “I encourage the Commission to he really
brave on that topic,” Morawiecki said, adding that despite his rejection of the
EU’s green targets he was a “believer” in clean energy.
TRUMP
WHISPERERS: Morawiecki said that he, Meloni and Hungarian PM Viktor Orbán were
well-positioned to act as “translators” of European politics for the incoming
Republican U.S. president. “I do believe that with my humble role and Giorgia
Meloni and her position, we would be an ideal intermediary between the United
States and Europe,” he said, adding that Orbán also had a “very good
relationship” with Trump.
On Ukraine,
the ex-Polish PM brushed away concerns that Trump could abandon Kyiv to Russia.
“It’s hard to imagine for me that President Trump would want to start his
second term with such a defeat as [current U.S. President Joe] Biden did with
Afghanistan,” he said.
The bottom
line: Morawiecki is expected to take over the ECR leadership in January. While
he may no longer be able to play the role of disruptor at the Council table,
it’s clear he plans to do his best to play one in the Parliament.
NOW READ
THIS — THE PRINCE AND THE POPULIST: Britain’s hopes for striking a post-Brexit
trade deal with Trump’s White House rest on the shoulders of Peter Mandelson,
the Machiavellian former EU trade commissioner tapped by Prime Minister Keir
Starmer as the country’s next ambassador in Washington. But sidelining
right-wing Reform UK leader and Mar-a-Lago insider Nigel Farage for the man
once branded the “Prince of Darkness” has drawn criticism, Jamie Dettmer
reports.
BULGARIAN
BUST-UP Share on Twitter Share on Facebook Share on Linkedin Share on Handclap
YOU CAN’T
FIRE ME, I QUIT! Lawmakers from the European Parliament’s Renew Europe grouping
were denied the chance to boot out two MEPs from Bulgaria’s Movement for Rights
and Freedoms (DPS) party on Monday. After Playbook reported that Taner Kabilov
and Elena Yoncheva were facing expulsion over their ties to U.S.-sanctioned
oligarch Delyan Peevski, the pair jumped before they were pushed.
Tough crowd:
In a letter seen by POLITICO, Kabilov and Yoncheva — who are said to be loyal
to Peevski, the billionaire DPS leader — would “terminate as of now our
membership in the Renew Europe Group as Members of European Parliament.” They
gave no reason for their decision, but were likely to lose a secret ballot
among their colleagues that would have seen them ejected. Playbook hears the
pair also left the ALDE international party ahead of anticipated disciplinary
action.
Hitting
back: “This decision is not impulsive,” Yoncheva told Playbook. “It is the
culmination of thorough analysis and extensive debates regarding our future
path, our priorities and our expectations moving forward.” The liberal
coalition, she added, has “consistently applied double standards in its
assessment of events in Bulgaria” and not acted on reports of corruption among
other politicians.
Background:
Peevski was last week elected as the DPS’ sole leader after an acrimonious
party summit. According to the U.S. Treasury Department, he “has regularly
engaged in corruption, using influence peddling and bribes … to exert control
over key institutions and sectors in Bulgarian society.”
Internal
split: Speaking to Playbook, Bulgarian MEP and Parliament legal affairs
committee Chair Ilhan Kyuchyuk, a member of the DPS who opposes Peevski, said:
“The rule of law, press freedom, and democracy are what make Europe strong and
prosperous.” He added: “Peevski’s model threatens to set Bulgaria back.”
2024 WRAPPED
UP Share on Twitter Share on Facebook Share on Linkedin Share on Handclap
ON THE LAST
DAY OF CHRISTMAS, THE LOBBYISTS GAVE TO ME: Whether your presents are already
beautifully wrapped beneath the tree or you’re heading out for a last-minute
shopping spree, those of you celebrating the holidays know their true meaning
is lavish materialism. But that goes double for the legions of lobbyists and
corporate charmers who’ve been busy stuffing the stockings of policymakers and
politicians around Brussels this year.
5 gold
rings: While officials in the European Commission and diplomats from EU
countries generally have tough rules on what they can and can’t accept, MEPs
and assistants who spoke to Playbook described a festive frenzy of freebies in
recent months. According to Olivier Hoedeman, research coordinator at the
Corporate Europe Observatory, “for MEPs there’s not really any meaningful
limits on what kind of hospitality they can accept” and key registers on
handouts “are not very well enforced or maintained.”
Gilty
pleasures: So far only six gifts have been declared in this Parliament’s
register (required for any prezzies worth more than €150). Five of those went
to Parliament President Roberta Metsola, among them a model jumbo jet by
Lufthansa, a signed, gilt tray from U.S. Speaker of the House of
Representatives Mike Johnson and a pair of luxury Persol sunglasses (a souvenir
from the G7 speakers’ meeting in Verona in September).
Making a
list, checking it twice: Even for conscientious parliamentarians the system is
not always clear. “A Danish stakeholder within the sustainable food industry
told me they intend to send me a special type of plant-based butter product,”
said Sigrid Friis, a dairy-shunning Danish MEP on the industry committee.
“Naturally I’m thrilled because it’s a product I truly miss after my recent
move to Brussels. However, I also had to ask my lovely employees to check if
I’m allowed to receive a pallet of butter as a gift and, if so, how to declare
it!”
Oh, you
shouldn’t have! “The large scale in which gift-giving takes place within this
institution did surprise me,” said Slovenian Renew MEP Irena Joveva who, along
with a handful of colleagues, has helped support the LobbyLeaks network
designed to promote whistleblowing on the practice. “I truly believe that if a
gift is given with an implication of a looming return favor, it is a bribe,
regardless of its value,” she said.
No need
Taipei for it: “The craziest ones were always the Taiwanese,” one Greens MEP
told POLITICO, granted anonymity to speak frankly. “Huge baskets with pâtés and
snacks and jams — for some reason they were always Belgian snacks rather than
Taiwanese. I’m not sure whether they realized that actually hurt their lobbying
efforts.”
Crumby
gifts: Notorious YouTuber-turned-MEP Fidias Panayiotou even did an unboxing of
“presents” received from lobbyists in a video posted in October. One, a
“Brussels Survival Kit” sent by Steel for Packaging Europe, appeared to include
boxes of tinned biscuits. “This is not the best present I receive in my life,”
the 24-year-old Cypriot said dryly.
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