Climate crisis and energy costs fuel £600 rise in
UK household food bill, analysis finds
Extreme weather contributing one-third of all food
price inflation with worse to come in 2024, warn climate researchers
Sarah Butler
@whatbutlersaw
Mon 27 Nov 2023
06.00 GMT
British
households’ food bills have been driven up by more than £600 over the past two
years by the global climate emergency and soaring energy prices, according to a
report warning of further increases to come in 2024.
Sounding
the alarm over the impact from increasing extreme weather patterns for food
production, the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) thinktank said that
global heating was directly contributing to the cost of living crisis.
According
to the analysis carried out by researchers from the universities of
Bournemouth, Exeter and Sheffield, more extreme or unseasonal weather accounted
for one-third of all food price inflation in the UK this year.
Combined
with the impact of soaring energy prices – after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
drove up gas, energy and fertiliser prices – it said British households had
been hit by £605 in additional food costs in 2022 and 2023. While energy prices
have fallen back this year, it warned that the impact from the climate
emergency was increasing.
Tom
Lancaster, land analyst at ECIU, said: “Climate change is playing havoc with
global food production, and this is inevitably feeding through to higher prices
at the tills. Across 2022 and 2023, the climate emergency alone added the
equivalent of six weekly shops to the average household food bill.”
The cost of
the climate crisis rose from £171 in 2022 to £192 in 2023, more than offsetting
the effects of falling energy prices this year and having a greater impact than
rising energy bills, according to analysis.
Official
figures show inflation in food and drink prices peaked at an annual rate of
almost 20% earlier this year, the highest level since the 1970s, amid
disruption to food supplies from weather events and soaring energy costs for
producers.
Food price
inflation has fallen back in recent months, but remains at historical highs of
close to 10%. Prices are also still near record highs after recent storms –
including Storm Babet – flooded swathes of farmland, hitting UK potato and
vegetable harvests in the run-up to Christmas.
In 2022,
drought hit production of basic foodstuffs such as potatoes and onions in the
UK, followed by an unusually wet harvest in 2023, and then the hottest
September on record.
It comes
after heatwaves across the Mediterranean, India and South America this year all
had a major impact on food production and prices. Staples including sugar, rice
and tomatoes were affected by extreme weather, such as droughts in India, while
olive oil rose in price by 50% after two years of drought and heatwaves in
Spain and other major exporters in southern Europe.
The
situation could be worse next year with the El Niño weather system leading
possibly to more severe weather and further increases in food prices.
Prof Wyn
Morgan of Sheffield University, one of the report authors, said: “Given we
expect climate impacts to get worse, it is likely that climate change will
continue to fuel a cost of living crisis for the foreseeable future.”
Anna
Taylor, executive director at the Food Foundation, said that the government
needed to “think more seriously how households can become more resilient to
price volatility” in the light of the likely impact of the climate crisis.
She called
on the government to revive its plans for a horticulture strategy that would
build production of fruit and vegetables in the UK and reduce reliance on crops
grown in southern Europe which is becoming increasingly vulnerable to drought
and extreme heat as a result of the climate crisis.
A separate
report from the Food Foundation warned that retailers and hospitality venues in
Britain were failing to create a food environment where healthy choices are
affordable, readily available and appealing.
It found
healthy food was already twice as expensive as unhealthy food per calorie,
while the cost of sustainable alternatives to meat and dairy can also be high.
Most main
meals offered by many pub chains regularly exceed 50% of the recommended daily
intake for calories, saturated fat, salt and sugar, according to the report.
Meanwhile, just 1% of food advertising spend goes towards fruit and vegetables
compared with 9% on meat and dairy while 21.5% of buy-one-get-one-free deals
are on meat and dairy compared with just 4.5% on fruit and vegetables.
Lancaster
said that the dependence of the UK’s current farming system on volatile oil,
gas and fertiliser prices had created a “perfect storm of extreme weather, high
gas prices and global instability” to food price inflation.
He said:
“The good news is that steps to make farming more sustainable cannot only cut
emissions but also make our food production more resilient to the extremes of
flooding and drought. Government plans in England to support greener farming
with more hedgerows, improved soil health and tree planting schemes are
therefore vital to our future food security.”

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