Trump’s
Plans to Boost Weapons Production Might Not Deliver for Years
While the
defense industry has announced plans to make more munitions, much of that
expanded production will not quickly kick in.
Helene
Cooper Eric
Schmitt
By Helene
Cooper and Eric Schmitt
Reporting
from Washington
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/30/us/politics/trumps-hegseth-weapons-production.html
April 30,
2026
For
months, President Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth have celebrated
tentative agreements with defense companies to expand production of Patriot air
defense systems, Tomahawk cruise missiles and other weapons believed crucial
for a war with China, Russia or North Korea.
“Exquisite
Class Weaponry,” the president said on Truth Social on March 6 after meeting
with executives from seven major defense companies.
Lockheed
Martin, for instance, would increase production of its PAC-3 Patriot missile
interceptors to 2,000 a year, from 600. It would quadruple production of its
Terminal High Altitude Area Defense, or THAAD, interceptors to 400 from 96.
Trouble
is, the administration does not yet have the funding or congressional support
for the weapons it needs for the possible future wars. And the Pentagon is
diverting munitions deliveries intended for allies for its own use as a stopgap
measure until large new arms orders begin.
While the
U.S. defense industry has announced those ambitious plans to make more critical
munitions and interceptors, much of the expanded production will not kick in
for several years.
In
appearances before the House and Senate Armed Services Committees on Wednesday
and Thursday, Mr. Hegseth urged lawmakers to approve the funding so that the
Pentagon could buy the weapons from the companies that are supposed to increase
production capacity. It is part of the Defense Department’s $1.45 trillion
budget request, which does not include the additional money the department is
expected to seek for the cost of the Iran war.
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The
Pentagon’s acting comptroller this week put the cost of the Iran war so far at
$25 billion, though war funding experts say that the final amount will almost
certainly be far higher.
The war
has significantly drained much of the U.S. military’s global supply of
munitions, as the Pentagon rushes bombs, missiles and other hardware to the
Middle East from commands in Asia and Europe, leaving them less ready to
confront potential adversaries. And it has forced the United States to hunt for
ways to increase production, Trump administration and congressional officials
say.
“If we’re
running low after a few weeks of fighting Iran, we’re nowhere near where we
need to be for Russia and China,” said Todd Harrison, a defense budget expert
at the American Enterprise Institute. “We’ve never built up our stockpile of
munitions to what they need to be for war plans, especially if you’re thinking
about being able to fight a major war.”
Defense
officials said that munitions stockpiles were already low because of the war in
Ukraine and Operation Midnight Hammer, the U.S. bombing of Iranian nuclear
sites last year.
The
Pentagon received $825 billion from Congress last year, plus $150 billion in
supplemental funding. But there is no solid prediction for what Congress will
do this year with the Trump administration’s requested $1.45 trillion for
defense.
At the
moment, the Pentagon is putting American needs first. Last Monday, Mr. Hegseth
told his Estonian counterpart that he was suspending delivery of six units of
High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems, or HIMARs, that Estonia, a small but
frontline nation in NATO’s standoff with Russia, had contracted to purchase
from the United States. Estonian officials said the delay, which would probably
extend at least several months, was caused by the war in Iran.
U.S.
officials have told several other European and Asian countries essentially the
same, according to an American official and a European official. Reuters
earlier reported the message.
The rapid
depletion of weapons “does create risk in future conflict scenarios,” said
Jerry McGinn, a defense industry expert at the Center for Strategic and
International Studies. “We’ve done a lot of war games on the Taiwan Strait, and
in all of those games, we run out of key munitions in a couple of weeks.”
Given the
Pentagon’s munitions shortfall, a big question this week was how Mr. Hegseth
would interact with congressional lawmakers charged with scrutinizing his
funding request. Would he strike a conciliatory tone in an effort to try to
help the Pentagon get the additional money? Or would he be combative?
His
opening remarks quickly answered that question.
The $1.5
trillion budget would ensure that the United States “continues to maintain the
world’s most powerful and capable military as we grapple with a complex threat
environment,” Mr. Hegseth said.
But he
went on to say that his critics in Congress were a bigger problem for the
United States in the Iran war than Iran itself.
“The
biggest challenge, the biggest adversary we face at this point are the
reckless, feckless and defeatist words of congressional Democrats and some
Republicans,” Mr. Hegseth told the House Armed Services Committee on Wednesday.
And that
was just the beginning.
Through
nearly six hours of the contentious hearing, the defense secretary became so
belligerent that Representative Mike D. Rogers, the Alabama Republican who
leads the committee, gently admonished him to show more respect. “Once I
recognize a member, they have control of that five minutes,” he told Mr.
Hegseth. “The witness has to recognize it’s their time.”
The
contentiousness of the hearing did not bode well for the Pentagon request for
more money for munitions, congressional staffers and some defense officials
acknowledged on Wednesday.
Representative
Austin Scott, Republican of Georgia, appeared to sum up the situation the
Pentagon was in with Mr. Hegseth on Wednesday. Midway through the hearing,
after Mr. Hegseth had castigated a number of lawmakers, Mr. Scott advised
caution.
“It takes
218 votes to get something across the floor of the House of Representatives,”
he said. “We’re going to lose some Republican votes, and we’re going to have to
have some Dem votes to do the things that we have to do to fund the Department
of Defense.”
“And I
just would encourage everybody to keep that in mind,” he added.
On
Thursday, before the Senate Armed Services Committee, Mr. Hegseth doubled down.
“I’ll say it again today: The biggest adversary we face at this point are the
reckless naysayers and defeatist words of congressional Democrats and some
Republicans,” he said.
Defense
contractors have been watching warily. In an earnings call last week, Lockheed
Martin officials indicated that the defense contractor would wait until the
Pentagon secured funding before moving forward to expand production, according
to several people who were on the call.
Helene
Cooper is a Pentagon correspondent for The Times. She was previously an editor,
diplomatic correspondent and White House correspondent.
Eric
Schmitt is a national security correspondent for The Times. He has reported on
U.S. military affairs and counterterrorism for more than three decades. Contact
him securely on Signal: ericschmitt.36.


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