The Stock
Market Could Crash in an AI Doomsday Scenario, According to Analysts. Wall
Street Is Panicking.
The
recent panic on Wall Street was triggered by a viral report from Citrini
Research titled "The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis," which outlines
a fictional but plausible "AI Doomsday" scenario. This report,
published on February 22, 2026, describes a future where autonomous AI agents
rapidly displace white-collar workers, leading to mass unemployment (reaching
10%), a sharp drop in consumer spending, and a subsequent 38% plunge in the
S&P 500.
On
Monday, February 23, 2026, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.7% (822
points) as investors reacted to these fears. Software and payment stocks were
hit hardest, with IBM falling
Key
Analyst Insights
Contagion
Fears: Analysts are concerned about a "negative feedback loop" where
AI-driven layoffs in sectors like software, accounting, and law lead to a
broader economic recession.
"DeepSeek-Type
Moment": Some analysts, including Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities, argue
the panic is overblown, calling it a "DeepSeek-type moment" where
investor fear is disconnected from solid business fundamentals. Ives maintains
a "historical buying opportunity" exists for oversold stocks like
Salesforce.
Capex
Fatigue: Wall Street is increasingly wary of massive infrastructure spending.
Combined 2026 spending for Microsoft and Alphabet is projected to exceed $380
billion, raising concerns about future cash flows if AI revenue fails to
accelerate.
Volatility
Surge: The VIX (Fear Gauge) surged 18% to 20.82 on February 13, 2026, signaling
a shift from unbridled optimism to a "show me the money" phase for AI
investments.
Sector-Specific
Impacts
Sector Key Stocks Impacted Impact Detail
Software Salesforce, Datadog, Zscaler Significant sell-off due to fears of
AI "agentic" disruption.
Payments Mastercard, Visa, American Express Fears that AI agents will bypass
traditional payment "moats".
Real
Estate CBRE, Jones Lang LaSalle Shares fell over 12% as AI tools threaten to
disrupt real estate services.
Defensive
Tech Apple Viewed as more resilient due to a conservative
AI infrastructure profile.

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