‘Kemi
hates doing media’: Tory anxiety after 100 days of Badenoch leadership
Open panic
has yet to set in but MPs voice growing fears over leader’s approach and threat
from Reform UK
Peter
Walker, Eleni Courea, Kiran Stacey and Jessica Elgot
Sun 9 Feb
2025 12.00 GMT
On Monday,
it will be 100 days since Kemi Badenoch became the leader of a demoralised rump
of 121 Conservative MPs. So, at this traditional moment for gauging initial
success, how well is she doing? It depends, perhaps inevitably, on how you
measure it.
“What you
have to remember is that for the first 18 or so months after you lose an
election, especially as badly as we did, no one cares what you do,” one Tory MP
said. “From that point of view, Kemi’s caution in not rushing into policies
makes sense. No one is listening yet. She has time.”
This is a
key point. For all that the Tories are trailing behind Reform UK and Labour in
the polls, with Badenoch showing few signs of turning things around, there is
not yet open panic, even in a party with a tradition of removing
underperforming leaders.
But there
are definitely worries. Some centre on strategy – for example, whether Badenoch
is capable of devising a suite of policies to see off Nigel Farage. Others
focus on the party machine, the leader’s inner circle, and for some MPs,
Badenoch herself.
A common
complaint is that Badenoch appears to view media duties as a chore and a
challenge, often sending out shadow cabinet colleagues in her place.
“Kemi
absolutely hates doing media. She does not see it as an integral part of her
job,” one former adviser said. “We could get away with that in government but
in opposition you have to turn up to the opening of an envelope. She should be
trying to get clips on the news every night. But she is not prepared to do it.”
“In
opposition, it’s a one-man or one-woman show,” an MP said. “With the best will
in the world, voters don’t know who Chris Philp is, and they don’t care what he
says.”
Some senior
Conservatives complain that Badenoch neglects other basics of her job, in
particular the gruelling circuit of fundraising dinners and constituency
events. “She thinks she can do the job differently, but the fact is, 90% of it
is graft,” said one Tory MP. “She wants to be an architect, but being leader of
the opposition is more like being a bricklayer.”
They added:
“The problem is, the job she was applying for was not the one she thought she
was applying for. She was running to be leader of the opposition, but she
thought she was running to head up a right-of-centre thinktank.”
Badenoch’s
circle of advisers is small and close-knit. The two major powers are her chief
of staff, Lee Rowley, and her director of strategy, Rachel Maclean, both Tory
former ministers who lost their seats at the last election, as well as Michael
Gove’s former adviser Henry Newman.
Rowley grew
close to Badenoch when both served as junior ministers, and was the creative
force behind her leadership campaign. But very few members of her staff have
any experience of opposition, and thus how to make the weather against a
government.
She also
faces the challenge of a creaking, diminished and disheartened party machine,
with Reform UK now boasting more members.
A parallel
drop in funding has resulted in staff numbers at Tory HQ plummeting from 200 to
about 60, with insufficient money to hire political advisers for shadow cabinet
ministers. Some say the party needs to raise about £5m in the coming months
just to keep afloat.
Officials
are looking to move from the party’s offices in Westminster’s Matthew Parker
Street to cut costs. The survival of its northern HQ in Leeds, which was opened
under Boris Johnson, is under question.
Within a
context so generally grim, it is no surprise that some thoughts have already
moved beyond how well or not Badenoch is faring and on to more existential
matters, including whether to seek a formal deal or even union with Reform.
“There’s a
40% chance that the Conservative party does not survive,” one Tory insider
said.
Some
veterans of Conservative government believe that MPs and the people around
Badenoch have not come to terms with how bad things are. A former special
adviser said: “Tory MPs are totally deluded about how bad it is. They’ve got
this view that it will fizzle out. They think of Farage as he was in 2015 or
2017, when he was an outsider campaigning on a single issue. He was still
appearing on things like Russia Today. Now he’s standing up in parliament
asking prime minister’s questions and urgent questions.
“For the
next 18 months Reform will be getting positive media coverage. They’re going to
do well in the local elections this spring and the big ones in May 2026.”
One shadow
minister said: “I didn’t think this could happen, but things have actually got
worse since the election. Councillors are leaving for Reform across the
country; they think they’re not getting any clear sense of direction from Kemi.
The only hope we realistically have of winning the next election is to do a
deal with Reform. But Nigel Farage will demand a very high price for that.”
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