Donald
Trump’s meeting with Keir Starmer: key takeaways
Britain’s
prime minister is potentially one of the European leaders best placed to handle
the mercurial president
Andrew Roth
in Washington
Thu 27 Feb
2025 19.37 CET
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/feb/27/trump-starmer-meeting
Keir
Starmer’s meeting with Donald Trump this week comes at a crucial moment for the
war in Ukraine and the future of the Nato alliance. Europe is looking for
leaders who can engage Trump on the future of the continent as the US leader
appears more inclined to demand tribute from his allies and cosy up to Vladimir
Putin. Sir Peter Westmacott, a former British ambassador the US, has called
this one of the “most consequential meetings of a British prime minister and
president that we have had since the second world war”.
Can the
“special relationship” between the US and the UK save the day? Or has the era
of transatlantic cooperation ended in the era of “America first”? Starmer has
already established a friendly rapport with Trump and comes bearing promises to
raise defense spending and negotiate on trade, but can that overcome Trump’s
impulse to abandon Europe and strike a deal with Russia to end the war as
quickly as possible?
Trump is
notoriously mercurial. His decisions are said to be influenced by the last
person with whom he spoke. On Thursday, that person will be Starmer, who comes
to the White House on the heels of France’s Emmanuel Macron to try his best to
argue Europe’s case to the new US president.
Here are six
takeaways as Thursday’s meeting at the White House gets under way.
1. A
charm offensive with an invitation from King Charles
Trump
greeted Starmer amicably as the UK prime minister arrived at the White House,
where the US president said that the two got along “famously” and called the
US-UK relationship “tremendous”.
In an
opening gambit, Starmer produced a letter from King Charles inviting Trump to
visit the UK. “It’s an invitation for a second state visit. This is really
special. This has never happened before. This is unprecedented,” Starmer said.
Trump mused of Charles: “He’s a really great gentleman.”
In his
opening remarks, Starmer thanked Trump for making peace possible in Ukraine in
a sign that the prime minister will limit his criticism of Trump’s sharp
diplomatic turn away from Europe and the previous administration’s support for
Ukraine.
“Thank you
for changing the conversation to bring about the possibility that now we can
have a peace deal,” Starmer said. “And we want to work with you to make sure
that peace deal is enduring, that it lasts, that it’s a deal that goes down to,
historic deal that nobody reaches. And we’ll work with you to make sure that
that absolutely happens.”
2. Did
Starmer manage to shift Trump on Ukraine?
Trump’s
remarks following the meeting indicated that his views may have shifted
ever-so-slightly on Ukraine following the meeting with Starmer. He did not
repeat his statement that Zelenskyy was a “dictator”, said that he respected
the Ukrainian leader, and added that Ukrainians had “fought very bravely ...
somebody has to use that equipment and they have been very brave”.
Trump also
appeared to be shifting in his opening remarks when he said that his plan to
sign a rare earth minerals deal with Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Friday is “really
going to get us into that country”. He indicated that the presence of American
workers in Ukraine would provide a security guarantee for Ukraine because
“we’ll be working there”.
“We’ll have
a lot of people working and so in that sense, it’s very good,” he said. “It’s a
backstop. You could say, I don’t think anybody’s going to play around if we’re
there with a lot of workers and having to do with rare earths and other things
which we need for our country.”
That is not
the kind of security guarantee that Ukrainian, French or British officials have
envisioned as backing European peacekeepers in the country in the event that a
ceasefire deal is reached. But it is the closest that Trump has come to saying
that the US would engage in Ukraine’s security and provide a deterrent threat
against Russia restarting the war if a ceasefire were signed.
3. Good
signs for Starmer on tariffs and the Chagos Islands
There were
positive signs for Starmer that Trump would not slap harsh tariffs on trade
with the UK, as Trump praised his lobbying and said Starmer “earned whatever
the hell they pay him over there”.
“I think
there’s a very good chance that, in the case of these two great friendly
countries, I think we could very well end up with a real trade deal where the
tariffs wouldn’t be necessary,” Trump said. “We’ll see.”
Trump also
offered Starmer an early win by saying that he would likely support a plan for
the UK to cede control over the strategic Chagos Islands in the Indian Ocean to
Mauritius but then lease them back to maintain control over a strategic airbase
used by the US and the UK.
The proposal
to cede control over the archipelago had been mired in uncertainty after a
general election led to a change of government in Mauritius and Starmer faced
criticism at home for the deal to cede control over the series of atolls in the
Indian Ocean that have been described as Britain’s last African colony. On the
eve of the summit, David Lammy admitted that Trump had an effective veto over
the deal, saying: “If President Trump doesn’t like the deal, the deal will not
go forward.”
“We’re going
to have some discussions about that very soon, and I have a feeling it’s going
to work out very well,” said Trump. “They’re talking about a very long-term,
powerful lease, a very strong lease, about 140 years. Actually, that’s a long
time, and I think we’ll be inclined to go along with your country. We have to
be given the details, but it doesn’t sound bad.”
4. Keir
Starmer is appealing to Trump’s checkbook, not to his heart
The key
pledge that Starmer has made en route to Washington is to raise defense
spending to 2.5% of gross domestic product by 2027, and then to 3% by 2035. He
has called it the “biggest sustained increase in defense spending since the end
of the cold war”.
That firm
commitment is seen as the enticement to convince Trump to provide a “backstop”
to a European security guarantee to Ukraine that would restrain Russia from
breaking a potential ceasefire. “The security guarantee has to be sufficient to
deter Putin,” Starmer told reporters on his plane en route to Washington.
But in
remarks at the British ambassador’s residence on Thursday, Starmer and his
ambassador to the US, Peter Mandelson, also focused on the economic ties and
opportunities for investment that exist between the UK and US. “We’re
determined to help US innovators thrive in the United Kingdom so my message is
we want to work with you, we want to welcome you to Britain, we want a new
partnership because history shows that when we work together, great things
happen,” Starmer said.
Ultimately,
Starmer will need to convince Trump that support for Ukraine and Nato is a good
deal, and he will argue his position as a win-win transaction rather than an
obligation or duty to world security that previous leaders in the United States
used to believe.
5. Starmer’s
tightrope walk
Starmer
followed Macron’s lead in his visit earlier this week by correcting Trump
during his remarks to say that Europe had mainly gifted its financial support
to Ukraine and had not given most of the aid in the form of loans.
“We wanted
to have a little bit of what the European nations had,” Trump said of his
decision to demand Ukraine pay back the US for it support. “They get their
money back by giving money, we don’t get our money back.”
“We’re not
getting all of ours, quite a bit of ours was gifted, it was given. There were
some loans but mainly it was gifted actually,” Starmer said.
Starmer
trumpeted the “special relationship” between the United Kingdom and the US in
defense and in business, but also directed some good-natured barbs at current
administration officials, wryly commenting on the “buzz” in Washington these
days and speaking about a new leader in Washington whom some love and others
“love to hate”. (He joked that this was the new ambassador, Peter Mandelson,
but the oblique reference to Trump was lost on few.)
“We share
the view that our best days lie ahead. And, you know, taking out a chainsaw
isn’t quite my style,” said Starmer, clearly referring to Elon Musk, who has
riled the British establishment by speaking out in favour of the far-right
Reform UK party. “But we are stripping away red tape and bureaucracy. We are
reforming permitting, getting things built, reducing barriers to investment and
growth. And we’re open for business.”
Like
Emmanuel Macron, Starmer needs to show the US president that he can stand up to
him – and also show his constituency that he isn’t willing to sacrifice his
values in order to make a deal. Macron walked that tightrope earlier this week,
but it didn’t yield the main prize: the promise of a US backstop to European
defense against Russia. Perhaps Starmer will have better luck with a concrete
offer on defense spending.
6. Volodymyr
Zelenskyy needs friends who can speak to Trump
The strains
between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Trump are evident, particularly as the US
strong-arms the embattled leader into signing a rare earths mineral deal that
Zelenskyy initially refused to endorse; in the ensuing days, Trump called
Zelenskyy a “dictator without elections”.
A report in
French media on Thursday said that Trump even sought to cancel his meeting with
Zelenskyy this week until Macron stepped in and convinced Trump to receive the
Ukrainian leader at the White House on Friday. If true, that could be a crucial
intervention to prevent a breakdown in talks between the US and Ukraine as the
country’s fate hangs in the balance.
On Sunday,
Starmer will host a meeting of European leaders that will include Zelenskyy.
While the leader’s future appears uncertain, he may rely on European leaders
such as Macron and Starmer to argue his side when his own relationship with
Trump remains on shaky ground.
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