Opinion
Guest Essay
America
and Russia Are on the Same Side Now
Feb. 25,
2025, 1:00 a.m. ET
By Dana H.
Allin and Jonathan Stevenson
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/25/opinion/russia-europe-trump-vance.html
Mr. Allin
and Mr. Stevenson are senior fellows at the London-based International
Institute for Strategic Studies.
During the
Cold War, large and influential Communist parties in Western Europe maintained
ties with Moscow, ranging from sympathetic to subservient. The United States
kept its distance and in many cases supported their opponents financially and
politically.
Now Europe
is confronted with a loose alliance of Russian-leaning parties, this time on
the other end of the spectrum: the far right. And the U.S. government has taken
the opposite approach: a warm embrace.
By doing so,
the United States is condoning Russia’s subversion of the postwar Europe that
America helped create and secure. The parties Russia favors are hostile to the
European Union, opposed to higher military spending and receptive to Russia’s
arguments about the recklessness of NATO expansion and the need to assert
right-wing Christian values.
Should these
parties and their populist cousins eventually dominate Europe — they are in
government in Croatia, the Czech Republic, Finland, Hungary, Italy, the
Netherlands and Slovakia, and making an impact in France and Germany — they
could eviscerate NATO and geopolitically neuter if not subjugate Europe itself.
That is certainly Russia’s hope.
A Europe
thus benighted would dash America’s post-Cold War vision of a continent “whole
and free” that the European Union and the Atlantic alliance, for all their
problems, have done much to advance and which has been an enduring source of
geopolitical stability.
Of course,
the Trump administration has made clear its disdain for those accomplishments.
Earlier this
month, Vice President JD Vance exhorted European leaders at the Munich Security
Conference to stop shunning the extreme parties in their midst. German
politicians, he argued, should remove the “firewall” against working with
populist parties, clearly referring to the far-right and anti-immigrant
Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) party. Afterward, he met with the AfD leader.
Elon Musk, who seems to be acting like President Trump’s prime minister,
congratulated the party’s leader on its second-place showing in Sunday’s
elections in Germany.
Then,
further repudiating trans-Atlantic solidarity, Secretary of State Marco Rubio
met the Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, to
discuss Ukraine’s future, freezing out Ukraine itself, as well as Europe. It
seemed clear that the United States intended to pursue a rapprochement with
Russia, which would likely mean ending sanctions, cajoling Ukraine into
relinquishing occupied Ukrainian territory, and perhaps even guaranteeing
Ukraine’s perpetual exclusion from NATO.
Mr. Trump
followed up the conference by ludicrously suggesting to reporters that Ukraine
had started the war by refusing to cede territory to Russia. Calling President
Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine a “dictator,” he has set the stage for satisfying
President Vladimir Putin’s ultimate war aim: removing Ukraine’s Jewish leader
as a prelude to installing a Russian stooge on the pretext of “denazifying” the
country.
Moscow could
hardly have scripted a result more in line with its dubious argument that NATO
enlargement forced it to reclaim its sphere of influence and invade Ukraine.
This narrative, largely embraced by Europe’s far right, reinforces Russia’s
threat to NATO’s eastern members, starting with the Baltic States, if Ukraine
is defeated or forced to capitulate.
Mr. Trump
and members of his circle have also shown sympathy for and influenced
right-wing populist parties in Austria, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland,
Romania, Slovakia and Spain. In Britain, Mr. Musk is trying to undermine the
Labour Party in favor of the right-wing Reform U.K. party. Mr. Trump and those
around him have shown admiration for Prime Minister Viktor Orban of Hungary,
who has visited Mr. Trump at Mar-a-Lago several times and provided a veritable
blueprint for the president’s authoritarian-minded policies.
The parallel
between Europe’s Moscow-leaning parties during the Cold War and the far-right
ones of the 21st century is certainly not exact. The far-right parties also
show varying degrees of sympathy with Russian interests.
Western
Communist parties were more formally linked to the Soviet Union than today’s
far-right European parties are to Mr. Putin’s Russia. Before World War II, they
belonged to the Communist International directed by Moscow, which Stalin
eventually dissolved to placate his new American and British allies during the
war. A postwar successor organization, the Cominform, included French and
Italian Communists, as well as Eastern European parties directly answerable to
Moscow, before it was abolished in 1956. By the 1970s, some Western Communist
parties — notably in Italy and Spain — had claimed a degree of independence
from the Soviets under the banner of “Eurocommunism.”
The
consistent factor, however, has been Moscow’s affinity for fifth columns to
advance its interests — the Cominform early in the Cold War, an international
right-wing grouping today. Today’s right-wingers include quasi-fascists and
Christian white supremacists whose views bolster and attract Christian
nationalist conservatism in the United States; Mr. Putin’s nationalist
autocracy, safeguarded by the Russian Orthodox Church; and Mr. Orban’s
“illiberal democracy.”
Moscow is
busy in Europe. The Kremlin’s political and material support for far-right
groups has deepened European social and political divisions, enabling it to
keep discrediting Western democracy. Russian interference includes covert
influence operations that German officials believe have penetrated Germany’s
political institutions and the AfD. Last year, German journalists revealed
emails and text messages between a Russian intelligence officer and an adviser
to an AfD member of the Bundestag to advance the party’s attempts to stop
Germany’s shipment of battle tanks to Ukraine. The officer and adviser have
denied involvement.
Czech
authorities believe Voice of Europe, a Prague-based news website, has funneled
money to politicians in at least six European countries as part of what the
authorities called a Russian influence operation. Russia has consistently
denied involvement in disinformation campaigns against the West.
Regardless
of Russia’s tactics, Europe’s extreme-right parties today share the Trump
administration’s hostility to wokeness and immigration, much as the Western
Communist parties of the 20th century advocated causes that Democratic
administrations in the Cold War found congenial: social justice, civil rights
for African Americans and an anticolonial agenda. Yet Democratic
administrations, unlike Mr. Vance now, never suggested that European
governments should accommodate them.
American
administrations back then assessed the Soviet threat as too dangerous to
indulge in political experiments. Today, the stakes are at least as high: If a
bellicose Russia thoroughly infiltrated European politics, its far-right
proxies could undermine the political structures that European nations have
painstakingly built to prevent a regional return to authoritarianism.
In a mild
rebuke to Mr. Trump, Mr. Vance and Mr. Musk, the AfD did not fare as well as
some expected in Sunday’s elections in Germany. With the far right on the rise,
however, European governments today are more vulnerable to them than they were
to Communism by the 1960s, when the political center in Europe had stabilized.
The Trump
administration appears not to care. Mr. Vance made it clear that moderate
European leaders cannot rely on American moderation, that Trump administration
officials are unlikely to welcome intelligence illuminating the depth and
breadth of the Russian threat to Europe and that heedlessness and betrayal have
become part of U.S. policy.
Dana H.
Allin is a senior fellow at the International Institute for Strategic Studies,
the editor of Survival and an adjunct professor at SAIS-Europe of the Johns
Hopkins University in Bologna. Jonathan Stevenson is an I.I.S.S. senior fellow
and the managing editor of Survival.


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