Labour and Lib Dems in bitter battle over Mid
Bedfordshire byelection
Disagreements over who is best placed to take Nadine
Dorries’s seat could threaten tactical voting strategies at general election
Michael
Savage Policy Editor
Sat 14 Oct
2023 13.00 BST
The fierce
byelection battle in Mid Bedfordshire is poisoning relations between Labour and
the Lib Dems and risks denting informal cooperation to remove the Tory
government, senior Labour figures have warned.
An
incredibly close three-way battle has emerged in the seat formerly held by
Boris Johnson ally Nadine Dorries, who quit after being refused a place on the
former prime minister’s peerages list. Labour and the Lib Dems are both
convinced they have the better chance of overturning the colossal 24,664-vote
majority and pulling off one of the biggest byelection wins in history this
week.
While no
formal agreement has been made between the parties, officials in Labour and the
Lib Dems have effectively diverted resources away from byelections in which the
rival party is better placed to unseat the Tories. It has contributed to Labour
wins in Selby and Ainsty, as well as Lib Dem victories in Amersham and Chesham,
and Somerton and Frome. Party figures supportive of tactical voting hoped it
could be a sign that both leaderships could adopt similar tactics at the
general election next year.
However,
there are concerns that the clashes in Mid Beds could disrupt the unspoken
arrangement. “You can see what has been going on,” said one influential Labour
figure. “Just look at what has been happening in the past. Mid Beds aside,
we’ve had small campaigns where they are stronger. Some of those tactical and
funding decisions will be very important at the election. Mid Beds is creating
a problem.”
A three-way
split could see the Tories win in Mid Beds, even if they have half the vote
share that they enjoyed at the last election
With just
days left until votes are cast, the two parties are engaged in an increasingly
bad-tempered battle. Labour reacted with fury to a Lib Dem suggestion that
their candidate lacked the “traditional values” of the area – while the Lib
Dems have deplored a Labour attack ad suggesting Ed Davey’s party backed
putting “fake missiles in nuclear submarines”.
Canvassing
has been so competitive that activists say they have had to queue up to speak
to individual voters. There have been battles over the planting of party flags
in the gardens of willing householders.
Lib Dems
had been trying to convince Labour that it had a better chance in Tamworth, where
a byelection is taking place on the same day. Labour held Tamworth in 2005.
Labour says polling shows it is neck and neck with the Tories in Mid Beds.
One Labour
MP who went to canvass in Mid Beds came away less inclined to back plans that
would clear the way for the Lib Dems in certain seats. “In the past, I’ve gone
to a nearby seat where the Lib Dems have a better chance than us and I’ve made
the difficult argument to the local party that they are needed elsewhere during
the election,” they said. “Understandably, they don’t like it. But why would we
do that now, with the tactics the Lib Dems are using?”
Lib Dem
strategists said that whatever the tensions in Mid Beds, the seat was “an
anomaly” that would have little relevance by the time of the election. “There’s
a skirmish at a low-ranking level in one particular seat,” said a party source.
“It is exceptional, but some members of the Labour party don’t see us as a
separate party. I can count on one hand – three fingers, in fact – the seats
where we’re in second place and running a campaign facing Labour for the
general election. People need to hold their nerve, as there’s a much bigger
prize here. And the biggest prize of all is, of course, getting the
Conservatives out of power.
“By the
time we get to the general election, folk will know what’s needed and necessary
to get rid of this government. I don’t think this is complicated or difficult.”
A three-way
split could see the Tories win in Mid Beds, even if they have half the vote
share that they enjoyed at the last election. One Conservative MP said that a
Tory victory could actually galvanise Labour and Lib Dem cooperation. “The best
thing that could happen to them is if the Tories win it,” they said. “At that
point, there will be a big focus on tactical voting at the election.”

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