US set for punishing temperatures as huge ‘heat
dome’ to settle over country
Heatwave to next week roast areas already gripped by
severe drought, plunging reservoirs and wildfires
Oliver Milman
@olliemilman
Sat 24 Jul 2021
06.00 BST
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/jul/24/america-heatwave-climate-crisis-heat-dome
The most
extensive heatwave of a scorching summer is set to descend upon much of America
in the coming week, further roasting areas already gripped by severe drought,
plunging reservoirs and wildfires.
A massive
‘heat dome’ of excessive heat will settle across the heart of the contiguous US
from Monday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecast,
bringing elevated temperatures to the Great Plains, the Great Lakes, the
northern reaches of the Rocky Mountains, the Pacific northwest and California.
Places used
to more mild summers are set for punishing heat, with temperatures expected to
breach 100F (37C) in the Dakotas and Montana, a state in which the city of
Billings has already experienced 12 days above 95F (35C) this month. Areas of
states including Missouri, Arkansas and Oklahoma may get “sweltering”
temperatures reaching 110F (43C), Noaa said, while cities such as Des Moines,
Minneapolis and Chicago will get significantly above-average heat.
The latest,
but most expansive, in a parade of heatwaves to sweep the US is likely to bring
thunderstorms and lightning to some areas, as well as worsen drought conditions
ranked as “severe” or “exceptional” that now cover two-thirds of the US west.
Climate
scientists have said the barrage of heatwaves over the past month, which have
parched farms, caused roads to buckle and resulted in the obliteration of
long-standing temperature records, are being fueled by predicted human-caused
climate change – but admit to being surprised at the ferocity of the onslaught.
“It’s been
a severe and dangerous summer, some of the heatwaves have been devastatingly
hot,” said Michael Wehner, a a senior scientist at the Lawrence Berkeley
National Laboratory. “We certainly expected these type of temperatures as
global warming continues but I don’t think anyone anticipated they would be so
hot right now. I don’t think we could’ve expected so many heatwaves in the same
general region in one summer.”
The most
extraordinary of the recent heatwaves occurred in the Pacific northwest in June
where the normally mild region was bathed in heat that broke temperature
records by more than 10F (5.5C). The heat, which caused hundreds of people to
die in cities including Seattle and Portland, where it reached 116F (46C), has
caused several scientists to question their previous estimates of how the
climate crisis will reshape heatwave severity.
“You expect
hotter heatwaves with climate change but the estimates may have been overly
conservative,” Wehner said. “With the Pacific northwest heatwave you’d conclude
the event would be almost impossible without climate change but in a
straightforward statistical analysis from before this summer you’d also include
it would be impossible with climate change, too. That is problematic, because
the event happened.”
Wehner said
the ongoing heatwaves should prompt governments and businesses to better
prepare for the health impacts of high temperatures, which range from heat
stroke to breathing difficulties caused by smoke emitted from increasingly
large wildfires.
“The good
news is that heatwaves are now on people’s radars a bit more,” he said. “But
these sort of events are completely unprecedented, you expect records to be
beaten by tenths of a degree, not 5F or more.
“It’s a
teachable moment in many ways for the public that climate change is here and
now and dangerous. It isn’t our grandchildren’s problem, it’s our problem. But
it’s been a teachable moment for climate scientists too.”

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