Trump
Iran airstrikes decision to be guided by Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff’s
advice
Exclusive:
Trump’s decision will be driven by envoys’ judgment on whether Iran is stalling
on a nuclear deal
Hugo
Lowell in Washington
Mon 23
Feb 2026 16.08 EST
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/feb/23/trump-iran-airstrikes-nuclear-deal
Donald
Trump’s decision to order airstrikes against Iran will hinge in part on the
judgment of Trump’s special envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, about
whether Tehran is stalling over a deal to relinquish its capacity to produce
nuclear weapons, according to people familiar with the matter.
The
president has not made a final determination on any strikes, as the
administration prepares for Iran to send its latest proposal this week, ahead
of what officials have described as a last-ditch round of negotiations
scheduled for Thursday in Geneva.
Those
talks will be led by Witkoff and Kushner, whose assessment on the likelihood of
a deal will shape Trump’s calculus. If there is no deal, Trump has told
advisers he is considering limited strikes to pressure Iran and, failing that,
a far larger attack to force regime change.
A US
official said on Monday that Witkoff was part of the group advising Trump on
his decision about how to proceed with Iran and had been involved in all
meetings related to the matter.
Trump has
received multiple briefings on military options, the people said, including
most recently on Wednesday in the White House Situation Room. He has also
solicited views from a broad range of officials in the West Wing in recent
weeks on what he should do with Iran.
The other
main advisers include the vice-president, JD Vance; the secretary of state,
Marco Rubio; the CIA director, John Ratcliffe; the defense secretary, Pete
Hegseth; Gen Dan Caine, the chair of the joint chiefs of staff; Susie Wiles,
the White House chief of staff; and Tulsi Gabbard, the director of national
intelligence.
Vance has
presented both sides of the argument for airstrikes. But he has pressed Caine
on the possible risks, not least because he has been far less confident about
the likelihood of success with attacking Iran than he was about the operation
to capture Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro.
Caine’s
concern has centered on the low stockpile of anti-missile systems, the people
said. After Trump bombed Iran’s nuclear enrichment sites last year, the US
fired 30 Patriot missiles to intercept Iranian counterattacks, the largest
single use of those missiles in US history.
Those
counterattacks were limited in scope. But, this time, Iran has vowed this time
to retaliate as hard as possible in response to any US attack, and its supreme
leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, warned last week that he had the ability to
sink a US warship.
Caine has
come across as more vocal about his concerns inside the Pentagon than when he
has briefed Trump, in what officials have privately speculated as an effort to
not appear to be advocating for a particular course of action, a person
familiar with the matter said.
In a
statement, the White House spokesperson Anna Kelly said Caine is “a highly
respected professional whose job requires providing unbiased information to the
Commander in Chief, which he does perfectly”, and that he has not been offering
his personal views.
But there
is also uncertainty inside the administration about whether airstrikes would be
sufficient to strong-arm Iran into making a deal – or even bring about the
ouster of Khamenei and his circle of religious leaders.
To that
end, administration officials have also explored potential off-ramps to avoid
military conflict. Among the ideas under discussion is allowing Iran to
maintain limited nuclear enrichment capability strictly for medical research,
treatment or other civilian energy purposes.
Rubio is
also expected to travel to Israel to update its prime minister, Benjamin
Netanyahu, in meetings scheduled for 28 February on the outcome of
negotiations, two people familiar with the matter said.
Yet ahead
of what could be the final negotiating session, there were indications that
positions were hardening.
Witkoff
said on Fox News on Sunday that Trump’s directive was to ensure Iran would
retain zero nuclear enrichment capability – only for Iran’s foreign minister,
Abbas Araghchi, to say on CBS’s Face the Nation that Tehran was not prepared to
relinquish enrichment.
As it
prepares for the possibility of Trump authorizing military action, the US has
assembled its largest concentration of air power in the Middle East since the
2003 invasion of Iraq. The USS Gerald Ford, the US navy’s most advanced
aircraft carrier, is expected to arrive within days.
The
carrier, which was moving south of Italy on Sunday en route toward Israel,
would become the second aircraft carrier in the region. Its arrival would add
to dozens of advanced F-35 and F-22 fighter jets, along with bombers and
refueling aircraft already deployed.
The
buildup would give Trump the option of sustaining an extended air campaign
against Iran, rather than carrying out a limited strike like last summer’s
operation, when B-2 bombers flew from the US to hit a small number of
enrichment sites at Fordow, Isfahan and Natanz.

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