Analysis
Trump’s conviction on all 34 counts is a
full-blown victory for DA Alvin Bragg
Sam Levine
in New York
Prosecutors took a case that was about boring paper
crimes and successfully turned it into one that was about something simple:
lying
Fri 31 May
2024 01.41 CEST
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/30/trump-verdict-prosecutor-win
Donald
Trump’s conviction on all 34 felony counts on Thursday marked a full-blown
victory for Alvin Bragg, the first-term Manhattan district attorney who was
criticized for using a novel legal strategy to bring a historic criminal case
against a former president.
The
decision to convict Trump on all 34 counts is significant. Jurors could have
acquitted him on some and convicted on others. But the fact that they went
all-in, and relatively quickly, suggests they believed the wider story
prosecutors told at trial. It is a full-throated win for Bragg and the worst
possible outcome for Trump.
Falsifying
business records is a misdemeanor in New York state. In order to elevate it to
a felony, Bragg had to show that Trump did it with the intent to commit another
crime. Bragg argued that Trump had falsified the records with the intent to
violate a New York state law that says it is illegal for “any two or more
persons who conspire to promote or prevent the election of any person to a
public office by unlawful means”.
The statute
has rarely been used to prosecute. The prosecutors offered a range of what the
“unlawful means” were, including violating campaign finance and tax laws. Some
legal observers said Bragg was stretching to bring the case. A little over a
month ago, one law professor called the case a “historic mistake”.
But over
the last several weeks, prosecutors transformed a complex legal case into a
carefully constructed narrative that was easy for jurors to understand. They
took a case that was fundamentally about boring paper crimes and turned it into
one that was about something simple: lying.
At every
step, prosecutors were focused on keeping jurors attention on their bigger
picture. Their first witness, former American Media chief executive David
Pecker, led them into the jaw-droppingly seedy world of tabloid journalism,
laying out how he would pay for stories and then not publish them for the
benefit of friends like Trump. It established the world that Trump operated in
and showed the lengths he was willing to go to in order to keep bad stories
from coming to light.
Pecker also
delivered one of the most devastating moments in the trial against Trump. After
several days of revealing how he bought and killed stories on behalf of Trump,
he ended his testimony by saying how much he continued to admire Trump. It was
a critical moment that showed how loyal those around Trump are, and severely
undercut Trump’s claim that everyone was out to get him.
Pecker also
established a critical link between Trump and his fixer Michael Cohen, telling
jurors, in a memorable line, that “every time we went out for lunch I always
paid. He [Cohen] never paid. I didn’t think he had authorization to pay without
Trump’s approval.”
Prosecutors
constructed their case carefully, sprinkling in the duller but necessary
information – bank records, checks and invoices – in between scintillating
testimony. Even though those documents were the key pieces of evidence of
Trump’s crimes, prosecutors made sure the jurors knew how they fit into the
larger piece of the puzzle.
Stormy
Daniels was a key witness who helped the prosecutors do this. Even though the
payment to her was not illegal, and even though she never spoke to Michael
Cohen ahead of the 2016 election, her sparkling and, at times, lurid testimony
helped raise the stakes for the jury. By giving the dramatic details of her
affair with Trump – from whether he wore a condom to the sex position they used
– she reminded jurors of why Trump would want to go to such lengths to conceal
the story.
Prosecutors
also masterfully set up Cohen’s testimony for the jury. Cohen, a former Trump
fixer, was a problematic witness for the prosecution because of his prior
convictions for perjury and his known penchant for lying. Cohen himself
admitted on the stand that he was “obsessed” with Trump.
But from
the beginning of the trial, prosecutors prepared jurors to brace themselves for
Cohen. Pecker and Keith Davidson, Stormy Daniels’ lawyer, corroborated much of
what Cohen would later say on the stand. The fact that Cohen was merely
confirming what two witnesses before him had said made him seem more credible.
Pecker and
Davidson also both testified extensively about what a jerk Cohen was,
portraying him as someone who would do anything for Trump – and who was also
extremely annoying. And they made no effort to conceal why Cohen would be upset
with Trump. After Trump failed to take Cohen to Washington, Davidson testified
that he thought Cohen was going to kill himself.
So when
Trump’s lawyers tried to do everything they could to attack Cohen’s
credibility, it fell flat.
While
prosecutors took pains to tell a precise story, Trump’s team did not make a
concerted effort to tell a counter-narrative. They sought to undermine the
credibility of witnesses, specifically Daniels and Cohen, but many of the
details they testified about were corroborated by others. They barely put on a
defense case. Instead, it seemed they were hoping they could generate at least
enough doubt for one juror to vote against a conviction, triggering a mistrial.
That
appears to have been a severe miscalculation. In the end, it took only 12 hours
for the jury of 12 Manhattanites to reach their unanimous verdict of guilty on
all 34 counts.
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