quinta-feira, 19 de junho de 2025

Trump's lack of foreign policy principles tears MAGA apart on Iran

Trump battles administration chaos as Republicans push back on Israel-Iran war involvement

Iraq’s top Shia cleric Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani warned against targeting Iran’s leadership and said that the Iran-Israel war could plunge the whole region into chaos

 


1m ago

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https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2025/jun/19/israel-iran-conflict-live-hospital-in-southern-israel-hit-in-iran-missile-strike-say-israeli-officials?page=with:block-6853cda98f0806bcd720d5b4#block-6853cda98f0806bcd720d5b4

 

Iraq’s top Shia cleric Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani warned against targeting Iran’s leadership and said that the Iran-Israel war could plunge the whole region into chaos, Agence France-Presse (AFP) reports.

 

Sistani said in a statement on Thursday that any targeting of Iran’s “supreme religious and political leadership” would have “dire consequences on the region”.

 

He warned that it could spark “widespread chaos that would exacerbate the suffering of its [the region’s] people and severely harm everyone’s interests”.

 

Sistani urged the international community to “make every effort to end this unjust war and find a peaceful solution” to Iran’s nuclear programme.

 

Sistani, an Iranian, is the highest religious authority for millions of Shia Muslims in Iraq and around the world, with the power to mobilise a huge portion of that base in Iraq.

 

With warnings of all-out regional war intensifying following Israel’s surprise assault on Iran last week, fears are growing over an intervention by Iran-backed Iraqi factions, mostly against American interests in the region.

Here’s the latest.

 


Updated

June 19, 2025, 4:00 a.m. ET44 minutes ago

Adam Rasgon Ephrat Livni and David E. Sanger

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06/19/world/iran-israel-trump-news

 

Here’s the latest.

Israel’s defense minister warned on Thursday that the Israeli military would intensify its strikes on “strategic targets” in Iran, after a barrage of Iranian missiles hit several locations including the largest hospital in southern Israel.

 

The threat from Defense Minister Israel Katz came after the Israeli military launched a wave of strikes against targets in Iran, including a nuclear complex. Stepping up Israel’s attacks, Mr. Katz said, would “remove the threats to the state of Israel and to destabilize the ayatollahs’ regime” in Iran.

 

The Israeli hospital, the Soroka Medical Center in the city of Beersheba, said it had sustained widespread damage and asked people to stay away. The hospital said the building that was hit had been largely evacuated in recent days, and that it was treating several patients with mild injuries. It is the first Israeli hospital to be hit directly since the war with Iran began last Friday, the Israeli military said.

 

The latest exchange of strikes came as uncertainty hung over the Middle East about whether or not President Trump would send American forces to join Israel’s sweeping campaign against Iran’s nuclear program and military.

 

“I have ideas as to what to do,” Mr. Trump said during an Oval Office event. He added, “I like to make a final decision one second before it’s due, you know, because things change.”

 

The supreme leader of Iran, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, had earlier warned that the United States would suffer “irreparable” harm if it joined the Israeli campaign.

 

Israel has pressed Mr. Trump to use powerful American weapons to attack Iran’s underground nuclear sites, and the prospect of American involvement in the war has added to fears that it could spiral into a wider conflagration in the Middle East.

 

There were conflicting signals from Iran as well on Wednesday, with a senior diplomat telling The New York Times that Iran was open to negotiations with the United States, hours after the country’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, rejected Mr. Trump’s call for an “unconditional surrender.”

 

Mr. Trump has also suggested it was not too late for diplomacy to head off a wider war, and he has held out the possibility that his special envoy, Steve Witkoff, or even Vice President JD Vance could meet with Iranian officials to seek a negotiated deal. A senior official in Iran’s Foreign Ministry said Wednesday that the country’s foreign minister would accept such an offer to talk.

 

Here’s what else to know:

Diplomatic effort: A senior Iranian foreign ministry official said that Iran would accept Mr. Trump’s offer to meet soon. The official said the country’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, would accept a meeting with senior American representatives to discuss a cease-fire with Israel, though Mr. Trump has indicated he wants talks to focus on Iran’s nuclear program. Read more ›

 

Internet blackout: Iran has been under a near-total internet blackout for more than 12 hours, NetBlocks, a connectivity monitor, reported late Wednesday. There have been severe internet disruptions in Iran since the war began. Press TV, an Iranian state news outlet, said the government was taking steps to prevent Israel from using Iranian networks for spying and military operations.

Trump, Iran and the Specter of Iraq: ‘We Bought All the Happy Talk’

 



News Analysis

Trump, Iran and the Specter of Iraq: ‘We Bought All the Happy Talk’

 

President Trump is pondering swift military action in Iran. There were similar expectations that the war in Iraq would be quick and triumphant.

 

Elisabeth Bumiller

By Elisabeth Bumiller

Reporting from Washington

June 18, 2025

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/18/us/politics/trump-iran-iraq.html

 

A little more than 22 years ago, Washington was on edge as a president stood on the precipice of ordering an invasion of Baghdad. The expectation was that it would be a quick, triumphant “mission accomplished.”

 

By the time the United States withdrew nearly nine years and more than 4,000 American and 100,000 Iraqi deaths later, the war had become a historic lesson of miscalculation and unintended consequences.

 

The specter of Iraq now hangs over a deeply divided, anxious Washington. President Trump, who campaigned against America’s “forever wars,” is pondering a swift deployment of American military might in Iran. This time there are not some 200,000 American troops massed in the Middle East, or antiwar demonstrations around the world. But the sense of dread and the unknown feels in many ways the same.

 

“So much of this is the same story told again,” said Vali R. Nasr, an Iranian American who is a professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. “Once upon a time we didn’t know better, and we bought all the happy talk about Iraq. But every single assumption proved wrong.”

 

There are many similarities. The Bush administration and its allies saw the invasion of Iraq as a “cakewalk” and promised that U.S. troops would be greeted as liberators. There were internal disputes over the intelligence that justified the war. A phalanx of neoconservatives pushed hard for the chance to get rid of Saddam Hussein, the longtime dictator of Iraq.

 

And America held its breath waiting for President George W. Bush to announce a final decision.

 

Today Trump allies argue that coming to the aid of Israel by dropping 30,000-pound “bunker buster” bombs on Fordo, Iran’s most fortified nuclear site, could be a one-off event that would transform the Middle East. There is a dispute over intelligence between Tulsi Gabbard, Mr. Trump’s director of national intelligence, who said in March that Iran was not actively building a nuclear weapon, and Mr. Trump, who retorted on Tuesday that “I don’t care what she said.” Iran, he added, was in fact close to a nuclear weapon.

 

Some of the same neoconservatives who pushed for the war in Iraq are now pushing for war with Iran. “You’ve got to go to war with the president you have,” said William Kristol, a Never Trumper and editor at large of The Bulwark who was a prominent advocate of war with Iraq. “If you really think that Iran can’t have nuclear weapons, we have a chance to try to finish the job.”

 

And once again the nation is waiting for a president to decide. “I may do it, I may not do it, nobody knows what I’m going to do,” Mr. Trump said Wednesday when asked about his thinking on striking Iranian nuclear facilities.

 

There are the familiar questions about an endgame. Mr. Bush landed on the aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln, and under a “Mission Accomplished” banner he triumphantly declared combat operations in Iraq were at an end. But the country was in chaos as he spoke.

 

Today many American officials fear there will be a wider war if the United States bombs Fordo, including retaliatory attacks on U.S. bases in the region by pro-Iran militias and strikes on ships in the Red Sea by the Iran-backed Houthis.

 

Adm. William F. Fallon, who in 2007 and 2008 oversaw all American military operations in the Middle East as head of U.S. Central Command, said on Wednesday that he had concerns about Iran spiraling out of control after an American strike.

 

“What’s the plan?” he said. “What’s the strategy? What’s the desired end state? Iran not having a nuclear weapon is something few people would disagree with. But what is the relationship we would have with Iran in the bigger Middle East? We’re just knee-jerking.’’

 

One person who sees little similarity between the run up to Iraq and now is David H. Petraeus, the general who commanded American forces in Iraq and Afghanistan and led the 101st Airborne Division in the initial invasion in Baghdad. “This is clearly the potential run up to military action, but it’s not the invasion of a country,” he said on Wednesday.

 

Mr. Trump, he said, should deliver an ultimatum to Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the supreme leader of Iran, and order him to agree to the complete dismantlement of his nuclear program or face “the complete destruction of your country and your regime and your people.” If the supreme leader rejects the ultimatum, Mr. Petraeus said, “that improves our legitimacy and then reluctantly we blow them to smithereens.”

 

Mr. Nasr said a hopeful scenario after a strike would be the total destruction of Fordo and an Iran that comes to the table and agrees to a negotiated end to its nuclear program. But if the Iranians respond militarily, as they say they will, Mr. Nasr said that Mr. Trump would be compelled to counterattack, particularly if Americans are killed on U.S. bases in the region.

 

“And then you don’t know where it’s going to stop, and Trump is really risking a repeat of the Iraq war,” he said. Iran is larger than Iraq, he noted, with a population of roughly 90 million and a far more capable, nationalistic military than the Iraqi army.

 

John Bolton, a neoconservative who served as one of Mr. Trump’s first term national security advisers, was a big advocate for the war in Iraq, and is now a supporter of a U.S. attack on Iran.

 

“Bomb Fordo and be done with it,” he said on Wednesday. “I think this is long overdue.’’

 

Mr. Bolton wrote a book about his time working for Mr. Trump that enraged the president, and Mr. Trump retaliated by revoking Mr. Bolton’s Secret Service protection, despite death threats that Mr. Bolton faces from Iran.

 

The two no longer speak, so Mr. Bolton said he had no idea what Mr. Trump would decide. He was not sure if Mr. Trump knew himself. But in his experience, Mr. Bolton said, Mr. Trump was “frantic and agitated” in national security crises.

 

“He talks to a lot of people and he’s looking for somebody who will say the magic words,”  Mr. Bolton said. “He’ll hear something and he’ll decide, ‘That’s right, that’s what I believe.’ Which lasts until he has the next conversation.”

 

Elisabeth Bumiller is a writer-at-large for The Times. She was most recently Washington bureau chief. Previously she covered the Pentagon, the White House, the 2008 McCain campaign and City Hall for The Times.

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