sexta-feira, 31 de janeiro de 2025

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Belgium gets new government with Flemish separatist Bart De Wever as PM

 


Belgium gets new government with Flemish separatist Bart De Wever as PM

 

After repeated false starts and breakdowns in talks, the country gets a Flemish-nationalist led coalition.

 

January 31, 2025 10:10 pm CET

By Hanne Cokelaere and Giselle Ruhiyyih Ewing

https://www.politico.eu/article/belgium-gets-new-government-with-flemish-separatist-bart-de-wever-as-pm/

 

Five parties agreed to form a new Belgian coalition government late Friday, concluding months of negotiations and paving the way for Flemish nationalist Bart De Wever to serve as the country’s next prime minister.

 

“After seven long months, we finally have a government for the country,” said Conner Rousseau, the president of Vooruit, one of the parties in the new government. Rousseau referenced the deep divisions the parties’ negotiators had bridged. “There will be a lot of fake news and a lot of criticism. But many people will be proud that we’re not afraid to make decisions.”

 

Negotiators will still have to seek official approval from their parties to cement the deal.

 

Coalition talks between De Wever’s right-wing New Flemish Alliance (N-VA), the Francophone center-right Reformist Movement (MR), the Francophone centrist Les Engagés, the centrist Christian Democrat and Flemish Party and the center-left Flemish Vooruit party — dubbed the “Arizona” coalition after the colors of the American state’s flag — hit multiple bumps in the road.

 

Belgium’s June election delivered an unexpected result: In the traditionally left-wing Walloon region in the south of the country, MR emerged the winner. In the Flanders region in the north, De Wever’s N-VA stayed ahead of the far right. It led some to hope that it would be easier than ever to bridge Belgium’s language divides and forge a majority of like-minded parties.

 

But negotiations repeatedly collapsed over budget disputes, and Belgian King Philippe granted De Wever multiple extensions as he sought to reach a coalition accord. Finally, earlier this month, the king issued De Wever an ultimatum: form a new government by the end of January or face a new election.

 

Under renewed pressure to do a deal, party negotiators entered the final stretch of talks this Wednesday, racing against the clock to form a new government by Friday.

 

Negotiators finally struck an agreement after marathon talks in the Royal Military Academy, a stone’s throw from EU institutions on the Schuman square. Initial plans to meet at the Val Duchesse castle — the scene of several past government deals — were abandoned when it transpired that the heating and showers were broken.

 

The new government will have its work cut out for it, facing a laundry list of tasks left undone during the prolonged negotiation process. During the extended interregnum, Belgium missed several critical deadlines including appointing a European commissioner candidate (which it eventually did) and presenting budget plans to the European Commission by the end of September (a task that still languishes).

 

Flemish Liberal Prime Minister Alexander De Croo has led a caretaker government in the months since the June election.

 

De Wever’s right-wing nationalist party claims as one of its missions the independence of Flanders from Belgium, although it’s shifted its approach to one of “confederalism,” whereby a minimal federal state remains in place but its regions get most of its powers.

 

“A Flemish nationalist who’s moving into Rue de la Loi 16 [the prime minister’s official seat] — who has to represent Belgium … I’d struggle with that,” Jan Peumans, formerly the president of the Flemish parliament and a member of De Wever’s Flemish-nationalist party, told VRT. But, he surmised, maybe “to save Belgium is also, in part, to save Flanders.”

 

The government formation talks have largely been focused on cutting Belgium’s budget deficit through pension, tax and labor reforms.

 

But typically Belgian clashes over the representation of Dutch and French language groups could still rear their head in the last remaining Belgian region without a government: Brussels.

 

Negotiators in the capital region have cut deals within the two language groups, led by the center-right MR on the French-speaking side and the Greens on the Dutch-speaking side, but have not yet cut a deal to govern together. Ahmed Laaouej, the leader of Brussels’ Francophone Socialist Party, has ruled out a governing coalition with De Wever’s Flemish-Nationalist Party, and his suggestions to bypass the usual checks and balances for the representation of Brussels’ Dutch-speaking minority has riled up the party of Belgium’s brand new prime minister.

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The Maga backlash against Trump’s crypto grab: ‘This is bad, and looks bad’

 


Analysis

The Maga backlash against Trump’s crypto grab: ‘This is bad, and looks bad’

J Oliver Conroy

Trump’s meme coin has some conservatives complaining over ‘most blatant ponzi scheme in history’

 

Fri 31 Jan 2025 10.00 EST

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jan/31/trump-cryptocurrency-republicans

 

When Donald Trump announced – three days before assuming the presidency of the United States, and followed shortly by Melania Trump – that he was launching a self-named “meme coin” cryptocurrency, many in the crypto industry were quick to express frustration. Ethics experts were also alarmed.

 

Among Trump’s base, however, a similar backlash – smaller, more muted, but similarly anguished – has been taking hold.

 

After a brief bubble as speculators raced to buy them, both Trump coins have mostly plummeted in value. Within the online Maga community – which has a certain degree of overlap with crypto enthusiasts – some feel betrayed by the president’s embrace of what some conservatives view as little better than a penny-stock pump-and-dump scam.

 

Trump, who in 2021 said bitcoin “seems like a scam”, has since flipped on the issue. He was widely expected to be a “pro-crypto” president, with the crypto sector hoping he would be a broadminded sheriff who would grant their financial frontier new legitimacy; instead he embarrassed them by initiating a gold-rush on meme coins, considered the riskiest and least reputable form of mainstream cryptocurrency.

 

Unlike traditional crypto-currencies that are “mined” and used in a blockchain, meme coins cannot be used as electronic currency and are generally regarded as having no enduring value. They are “minted” to exploit a viral moment.

 

“Now, on the cusp of getting some liberalization of crypto regulations in this country, the main thing people are thinking about crypto is, ‘Oh, it’s just a casino for these meme coins,’” Nic Carter, a Trump supporter and cryptocurrency investor, told the New York Post. “It does the opposite of validating us, it makes it look completely unserious.”

 

Similarly, keyboard Maga warriors who hoped that Trump would stick up for the American little guy are bitterly disappointed that he endorsed a financial scheme that immediately took little guys for a ride.

 

The new president claimed his coin would “celebrate everything we stand for: WINNING!”, but not everyone seems persuaded.

 

“I wish Trump was more tempered on this,” someone on a conservative Reddit forum despaired after Trump’s coin debuted. “He owns casinos and knows the addiction of gambling.” Another argued that meme coins prey “on the poor and most desperate”.

 

“Can anyone make a cogent argument in favor of this?” one poster asked. Few did. “This is bad, and looks bad,” one person said.

 

Others called the Trump token “degrad[ing] to the office of the Presidency”, “a lame money grab”, “a bad idea with a million ways to go wrong and derail his second term”, “shady”, and “kinda gross”. Another added, “This crypto is the most blatant ponzi scheme in history and we are the marks.”

 

One conservative wrote that their litmus test was “if Biden pulled this shit, how would I feel? … I can’t imagine any other president doing this”.

 

“The GOP has to find someone better for 2028,” someone said – a sentiment that was surprisingly common. “I want a real man like Vance to run this,” someone else said.

 

After a meme coin named IVANKA launched last week, Ivanka Trump was forced to clarify that she had no relationship with the venture, and condemned it as “being promoted without my consent or approval”. She said the coin “risks deceiving consumers and defrauding them of their hard-earned money”, an argument that some crypto critics might say applies to all meme coins, including Trump and Melania’s official tokens.

 

The famously conservative Wall Street Journal editorial board, influential in conservative circles, ran an editorial criticizing Trump’s turn as a crypto impresario. The piece noted a litany of legal, ethical and political problems with meme coins, “vehicles for speculation” that could open Trump to civil and criminal liabilities or be used by foreign adversaries to curry influence. “No careful President would get anywhere near this kind of political risk, and we can’t recall any President who has.”

 

The Trump token’s website contains a disclaimer noting that the tokens are “not intended to be, or to be the subject of, an investment opportunity, investment contract, or security of any type”, though that language probably does not bear much relation with how the average investor views a meme coin.

 

Undeterred, Trump’s wider business empire is stepping further into this space. On Tuesday, the Trump Media and Technology Group, which operates Trump’s social media platform Truth Social, announced the launch of a financial technology brand called “Truth.Fi”, through which the company plans to invest up to $250m in crypto-currencies and “crypto securities”, and other investment accounts.

 

Ethics experts have widely condemned Trump’s coin as creating serious and unprecedented conflicts of interest or as one conservative on Reddit begs: “Please please please Mr. President. Don’t get involved with crypto.”

Merz’s far-right gamble backfires

 


Merz’s far-right gamble backfires

 

Favorite to be next German chancellor loses bid to use AfD support to push through immigration law, after days of turmoil over weakening of Germany’s “firewall.”

The draft bill, which sought to impose stricter immigration controls, failed in a narrow vote.

 

January 31, 2025 5:47 pm CET

By Chris Lunday

https://www.politico.eu/article/friedrich-merz-germany-gamble-to-accept-far-right-support-fails-in-parliament-afd-cdu-migration/

 

BERLIN — Friedrich Merz, the conservative frontrunner to become Germany’s next chancellor, suffered a major political defeat on Friday as his controversial immigration bill backed by the far right was rejected in the Bundestag, with some members of his own party refusing to support the measure.

 

Merz had earlier declared his willingness to push through the draft law to restrict migration even with support from the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party, a move that weakened Germany’s so-called firewall against the far right and sparked a fierce pre-election debate that struck at the heart of the country’s postwar identity.

 

The draft bill, which sought to impose stricter immigration controls, failed in a narrow vote — 338 in favor, 350 against — marking a significant blow to Merz’s leadership and election strategy just weeks before Germany’s federal vote, set for Feb. 23.

 

In a passionate debate in parliament, center-left lawmakers warned that the conservative acceptance of far-right support would badly scar Germany’s democracy.

 

“The original sin will follow you forever,” Rolf Mützenich, parliamentary leader for the center-left Social Democratic Party (SPD), warned conservatives. He then urged Merz and his allies to change course and reject the AfD’s help. “The gates of hell, we can still close together,” he said.

 

Twelve conservative lawmakers rejected the bill or abstained, revealing a deep rift within Merz’s alliance and embarrassing the candidate at a critical time in the campaign. Earlier this week, Merz’s conservative predecessor, former chancellor Angela Merkel, condemned his decision to accept far-right support.

 

“I consider it wrong to abandon this commitment and, as a result, to knowingly allow a majority with AfD votes in the Bundestag for the first time,” Merkel said in a statement.

 

In parliament, Merz defended his decision, arguing that the government had lost control of migration policy and that mainstream parties needed to act, no matter who supported the legislation. “People outside don’t want us to argue among ourselves about the AfD,” he said. “They want us to find solutions.”

 

At the same time, Merz used the kind of inflammatory rhetoric often employed by the AfD, referring to a series of violent attacks perpetrated by immigrants, such as the attack on a Christmas market in the eastern German city of Magdeburg, and knife attack in the Bavarian city of Aschaffenburg earlier this month.

 

“Is it seriously your position that, in light of the attacks in Magdeburg and Aschaffenburg, in light of daily gang rapes committed by asylum seekers […] we should do nothing? That we should not take action, even as parents across Germany fear for their children?” Merz said, drawing a direct link between crime and migration.

 

It remains to be seen how Merz’s failure to pass the bill will change the contours of the race, but the conservative attempt to peel back votes from the AfD may well end up suffering as a result. At the same time, centrist voters upset with Merz’s weakening of the firewall may shift to left-leaning parties that have pushed to uphold it.

 

Merz’s conservatives currently lead in polls at 30 percent, while the AfD is at 21 percent, having seen its popularity increase in recent weeks.

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‘Disrupt or be disrupted’, mainstream parties warned as voters turn to populists

 


‘Disrupt or be disrupted’, mainstream parties warned as voters turn to populists

 

Research shows voters losing faith in traditional centre-left and centre-right to deliver meaningful change

 

Eleni Courea Political correspondent

Thu 30 Jan 2025 18.00 GMT

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/jan/30/western-political-parties-voters-turning-to-populists-research-tbi

 

Voters in western democracies are turning away from mainstream political parties and towards populists because they are losing faith in their ability to implement meaningful change, a major report based on surveys of 12,000 voters has found.

 

The popularity of traditional centre-left and centre-right parties across major democratic countries has plummeted from 73% in 2000 to 51% today, according to research by the Tony Blair Institute.

 

Researchers looked in depth at the views of samples of 2,000 voters polled in each of six big democracies – the UK, US, Australia, Germany, France and Canada – and found they were “remarkably similar”.

 

They concluded that voters were increasingly turning away from centre-left and centre-right parties not for ideological reasons, but because confidence in their competence and integrity have plummeted.

 

“Whatever voters are looking for, they increasingly seem to doubt that it can be delivered by the parties they have traditionally elected to office,” the report said.

 

In the TBI’s analysis, voters were divided into “insiders”, who were willing mainstream politicians to work, and “outsiders”, who have given up on traditional parties and turned to insurgents. Both groups wanted honesty, competence and reform – but the difference was in their faith in mainstream parties to deliver it, the thinktank said.

 

Outsiders felt they were victims of a system run by remote elites serving their own interests instead of implementing simple solutions to political problems. They placed greater value on “common sense” over independent evidence, and strong, decisive leaders over negotiation and compromise.

 

In the UK, older voters were likelier to be outsiders, while in France and Germany – where the far-right National Rally and Alternative for Germany have surged in popularity – younger and older voters were equally likely to be outsiders.

 

Across the countries surveyed, there was a high degree of economic pessimism among voters, who expected children born today to be worse off than their parents. This feeling was most acute in the UK – where 49% expected children to be worse off, compared with 26% who expected them to be better off – and in Australia and France.

 

The report found that this economic pessimism was linked to declining faith in democracy. Of those voters who said they had negative views about democracy, 77% said they believed that children born today would be worse off than their parents.

 

Voters generally thought that technology made their lives better, but were ambivalent about its impact on public services. Asked how optimistic they were about potential improvements brought about by AI, most placed themselves between a three and seven out of 10. Outsiders who were distrustful of politicians were much more pessimistic about technology.

 

The report concluded that “the key to bringing coalitions back together is effective delivery” and “paradoxically, modern technology can offer part of an answer”. It suggested that, for example, introducing digital IDs, which the UK government has backed, could help assuage concerns about controlling immigration.

 

Ryan Wain, the TBI’s executive director of politics, said the findings served as a “clarion call to mainstream parties: disrupt or be disrupted”.

 

He said that to build and maintain support, mainstream parties needed to “change through disruption – of social media feeds, of the old left-right spectrum and by embracing new technology, especially AI. At the same time, credible answers must be provided for legitimate grievances, including around immigration.”

 

Rob Ford, a professor of political science at the University of Manchester, said the report reflected that “while the TBI has provided us with an elegant and rigorous report to give us a diagnosis of the problem, they don’t offer much by way of a cure. I’m not sure anyone has the answer.”

 

He added: “The central conundrum of our times is: is there any kind of deliverable performance for any government that voters will reward? We’re seeing every single incumbent getting kicked out whatever they do, whatever they support, whatever narrative they promote.

 

“Take a typical Reform voter – they will say, ‘here’s a list I demand that the government do’. Some of those things are impossible for any government to do. They will say they want net migration down to zero and major improvements to the healthcare system, and also lower taxes. How? If you deliver any one of those things you are making it drastically harder to deliver the others.”

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Brexit makes no sense in a world dominated by Trump. Britain’s place is back in the EU

 



Brexit makes no sense in a world dominated by Trump. Britain’s place is back in the EU

Jonathan Freedland

From defence to trade, the incoming US president is upending the old order – and standing apart from our neighbours leaves us dangerously exposed

 

Fri 29 Nov 2024 16.08 GMT

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/nov/29/brexit-donald-trump-britain-eu-us

 

It’s one damned thing after another. As Keir Starmer is discovering, government, like life, can feel like a fusillade of events, each coming faster than the one before. If it’s not a cabinet minister resigning over a past fraud conviction, it’s MPs voting for assisted dying – and that’s just in one day. Through that blizzard of news, it can be hard to make out the lasting changes in the landscape – even those that have profound implications for our place in the world.

 

The November 2024 event that will have the most enduring global impact is the election of Donald Trump. There are some in the higher reaches of the UK government who are surprisingly relaxed about that fact, reassuring themselves that, in effect, we got through it once, we’ll get through it again. Yes, they admit, Trump has nominated some crazy people to lead in areas crucial to the UK-US relationship, such as defence and intelligence, but don’t worry, officials in London will do what they did last time: work with like-minded counterparts in the Washington bureaucracy to bypass the Trump loyalists at the top.

 

Whether that’s complacency or naivety, it’s a mistake. This is not like last time. As Mark Leonard, director of the European Council on Foreign Relations, put it to me: “Trump is different and the world is different.” During his first term, Trump was hemmed in by the establishment types he had appointed to key jobs. Now he will be unbound. Back then, there was no war in Europe, China was in cooperation mode and Britain was still in the EU. That’s all changed now.

 

Consider what Trumpism, if implemented, means for the world. It would dismantle the post-1945 order, underpinned for eight decades by the US. In that period, the US acted as both guarantor for a system of global trade and defensive umbrella for the western alliance, with Britain and Europe the obvious beneficiaries. Playing that role came at a cost for the US, but successive presidents believed it was worth it, because a stable world was one in which the US could prosper.

 

Trump marks a radical break from that thinking. He believes those previous US presidents were suckers, ripped off by allies taking a free ride at US expense. He denies the US has any greater responsibilities than any other country: it should sacrifice nothing, looking out instead solely for itself. He’s happy for the US to be No 1 in the world, but not the world’s leader. The two are different. Like the slogan says: it’s “America first”.

 

For China, Russia, the Gulf states, Brazil and others there is some relief at that: they relish a future without a scolding Washington sticking its nose into their business. But for Europe, including Britain, it’s a disaster. In terms of both defence and the economy, our societies are predicated on a US-led world that will soon no longer exist.

 

The impact will be felt most sharply in Ukraine, which is weeks away from seeing US support fall away. Leonard fears a “Yalta-type settlement sealed by Trump and Vladimir Putin over the heads of European countries”, one that will reward Putin’s aggression and leave him emboldened. That leaves more than the likes of Moldova and the Baltic states feeling vulnerable. As the Guardian reported today, “Germany is developing an app to help people locate the nearest bunker in the event of attack. Sweden is distributing a 32-page pamphlet titled If Crisis or War Comes. Half a million Finns have already downloaded an emergency preparedness guide.” Berlin is taking steps to get the German public kriegstüchtig: war-capable.

 

On the continent, it’s become an urgent question: can Europe defend itself either without America or, at best, with less America? European defence spending is up and there is talk of shifting the industrial base, repurposing factories, to allow for a fast and massive, Europe-wide programme of rearmament. Our nearest neighbours understand that if the US president no longer believes in the core Nato principle of mutual defence – one for all and all for one – then, at the very least, Nato’s US pillar is gone. If Nato is to survive, the EU pillar will have to bear much of the weight alone.

 

It’s not clear that this penny has quite dropped in London. And remember there is a double threat here. Trump also plans to protect US domestic industry by slapping tariffs on imports from the rest of the world. China is likely to be hardest hit, with a 60% charge, but Trump wants a “universal” tariff of up to 20% on all goods coming into the US – including from Britain. For a trading nation such as the UK, that spells calamity.

 

What, then, can be done? On defence, Britain can vow to spend more and increase military cooperation with European allies. Fine, as far as it goes. But in the face of a trade war, Britain alone would be all but impotent against the might of the US. There is only one nearby market that is of comparable heft to the US, whose threats to retaliate against US tariffs would have a deterrent effect, a body, incidentally, that happens to be a virtuoso in the realm of trade and trade disputes. I am speaking of course of the European Union.

 

What’s more, these two spheres, military and economic, are no longer as distinct as they once were. When states confront each other, they no longer do it solely through bombs and bullets. Everything else gets weaponised too, whether it’s the financial system through sanctions, the supply of energy or food or technology. Witness Russia’s war against Ukraine. As it happens, these are all areas where the EU’s particular brand of cooperation can help. So when Russia moved to choke off the gas supply to individual European countries, the EU was able to step in and connect what were previously separate energy grids, thereby thwarting that threat.

 

The point is, the landscape of 2016 – that fateful year – no longer exists. Plenty of Brexiters believed, in good faith, that a buccaneering, free-trading Britain could thrive in a world of open borders. But that world has gone now, replaced by one of war, barriers and Darwinian competition. Whatever case you could make for Britain being out of the EU in the Obama era of 2016 makes no sense now.

 

I don’t expect Starmer to announce a plan to rejoin the EU tomorrow. But it’s time for outriders to start riding out. Labour MPs, perhaps the odd minister, can begin to make the case that is becoming increasingly obvious to many millions of Britons. The polls are saying it, the governor of the Bank of England is saying it. And when immigration levels are four times higher now than when we were in the EU, the issue that served as the Brexiters’ trump card lies in shreds. One by one, the premises of Britain’s 2016 decision are crumbling.

 

I understand the political calculus that made Labour believe Brexit was an issue best avoided. But the reality around us is changing and politicians, governments especially, have to adapt to it. In the age of Trump, when the US is no longer the predictable guarantor it once was, Britain cannot thrive alone and in the cold. It’s not ideology or idealism, but hard-headed, practical common sense to say our place is in Europe – and to say so now.

 

Jonathan Freedland is a Guardian columnist

Fri 8 Dec 2023 : By every measure, Brexit is harming Britain

 




Letters

By every measure, Brexit is harming Britain

Readers respond to an article by Larry Elliott that said the UK’s departure from the EU hasn’t been as bad as predicted

 

Fri 8 Dec 2023 16.25 GMT

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/dec/08/by-every-measure-brexit-is-harming-britain

 

Larry Elliott makes two main arguments in his article (I’ve got news for those who say Brexit is a disaster: it isn’t. That’s why rejoining is just a pipe dream, 5 December). He’s wrong on both.

 

His first point is that the EU is faltering and the UK is recovering more quickly from global headwinds. However, he is using the wrong comparison. We should not compare the UK with the EU, but with what the UK would have been like without Brexit. The opportunity cost, not the relative comparison, is the relevant factor. And on this correct measure, Brexit is deeply damaging to the UK economy.

 

The Office for Budget Responsibility is crystal clear on this point – it expects long-run productivity to reduce by 4%, and imports and exports by 15%; and new trade deals will not have a material impact. Worse, the damage will accrue for many years to come – not just in sales lost and companies that have already folded, but in businesses that will never be set up and developments that will never take place.

 

The second point Elliott makes is that the UK has avoided the rise of far-right parties such as the Alternative for Germany party or the Freedom party in the Netherlands. On this point, I can only imagine that he is being wilfully blind. The Tories are the functional substitute for the European far-right parties. They have dealt with the rise of the far right by adopting its language, policies, presentation and contempt for norms and governance. It is disturbing that Elliott ignores this in favour of spurious pro-Brexit arguments.

Oscar Franklin

Chatham, Kent

 

 Larry Elliott’s excellent article highlighted real challenges to those of us who persist in campaigning to overturn Brexit. But he did not mention the educational and wider political identity that being part of the EU confers.

 

I have just returned from a conference in Italy to discuss progress towards a pan-European graduate-tracking study that will monitor graduate careers and migration among member states and beyond. We used to be able to compare similar UK employment statistics with those of other European countries as part of the EU-funded Eurostat, but the UK is not included any more. And that’s only one area of social science research. Think about all the scientific, political, humanities and arts research, and opportunities for knowledge exchange that have been affected by Brexit, not to mention the wider cultural restrictions in the performance arts.

 

Academics cannot so easily work with their European colleagues and we have seen a significant exit of European scholars from British universities. Our children can’t participate in the Erasmus undergraduate exchanges either.

 

Hopefully some of these disadvantages can be ameliorated after a change of government, but in the short term, they have been costly. The UK is a group of small islands just off the coast of Europe and our long-term interests surely lie in Europe. We should be in there, in support of other Europeans who are fighting the rise of the far right.

Kate Purcell

Coventry

 

 I agree with Larry Elliott. Playing political hokey cokey around membership of the EU will be a disaster. The problem with making Brexit a success is that the political, economic and business establishments don’t accept his analysis of the underlying weaknesses of the UK economy, particularly the punishing impact of a combination of economic inequality, stagnated growth and a chronic inability to invest in the future by the state and the market.

 

We need an alternative to the neoliberal economics that has led the country to absorb such absurdities as water firms dumping raw sewage into our rivers, for which no one can be held to account. On the flip side, if you advocate for models of public ownership for our utilities, which are the norm in the six founding EU nations, you are painted as a dangerous radical.

 

Labour’s position seems to be that bringing us back to a state of pre-Brexit orthodoxy will sort out the economy. I think Elliott would agree that that is flawed. We need an alternative. It’s not coming from the main two-party system. Brexit was led by the extreme right and was an anti-immigration vote. But for Brexit to work, we need something way more progressive than Keir Starmer’s Labour, and that is unlikely to emerge from our two-party system, which is tied at the hip to the dogma of neoliberal economics.

Cllr Mark Blake

Independent Socialists, Haringey council, London

 

 Larry Elliott writes that Brexit “isn’t a disaster” for the economy. He’s right, but perhaps not in the way that he thinks. Mainstream economics would not characterise Brexit as disastrous for growth. Rather, Brexit is an inversion of Dave Brailsford’s maxim of “marginal gains” – the wildly successful sporting philosophy that saw British champions triumph at the Tour de France.

 

If the UK economy were a cyclist competing in the Tour d’Europe, she wouldn’t be totally unfit – but she would be subject to a series of “marginal losses”, struggling at the back of the peloton, envious of her less-afflicted competitors. Eventually, she’d probably fire her manager, and strive to undo the marginal losses that impair competitiveness.

Sam Langfield

Principal economist, European Central Bank, and former economist, Bank of England

 

 

 I had the most overwhelming feeling of sadness on reading Larry Elliott’s article. As the child of a displaced person who couldn’t get back to her own country after the second world war, but was welcomed in the UK even though she was German, I felt totally rejected by the country of my birth.

 

My mum came here without a word of English and only the clothes she stood up in. She was given a job in a cotton mill and eventually taught herself enough English to be able to train as a nurse. She embraced life here. She came not even knowing if she would ever see her family again. My heart bursts with pride at her bravery and determination. Now, thanks to Brexit, I feel people like her would be vilified and despised. Like millions of others fleeing conflict and persecution, all Mum wanted was a home and a life – and the UK gave her that. Mr Elliott doesn’t look at the bigger picture.

Ingrid Marsh

Newton Abbot, Devon

 

 One glaring omission from Larry Elliott’s article is the ways in which Brexit has made things better. Privacy? Human rights? Trade? Water quality? Roaming charges? Staff shortages? Food prices? Trust in politics? A policy that has made almost everything worse and made nothing better can’t be anything other than a disaster.

Jon Page

Camberley, Surrey

 

 So Brexit is only a partial disaster. That’s all right then.

David Walters

Cardiff

Farage accepts people 'disappointed' by Brexit - but claims Reform UK could 'finish the job'

 


45m ago

10.24 GMT

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2025/jan/31/brexit-politics-tory-kemi-badenoch-priti-patel-keir-starmer-live-latest-news?filterKeyEvents=false&page=with%3Ablock-679ca2058f0855c76b565b12#block-679ca2058f0855c76b565b12

 

Farage accepts people 'disappointed' by Brexit - but claims Reform UK could 'finish the job'

Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader, has admitted that people are “disappointed” by Brexit. He has marked the fifth anniversary by recording a video message for Daily Express readers saying that the proper Brexit they wanted has not been delivered because they were let down by the Tories. He says:

 

[Brexit has] not been delivered and if I sat here five years ago I’d have said to you in five years’ time I’d be retired, I’d be out, I’d have done my bit, my 27 years of campaigning finally paid off.

 

But I’m back and I’m back because we now need people in charge to deliver the Brexit we voted for who actually believe in it …

 

We know Labour were opposed, [Keir] Starmer wanted a second referendum, Liberal Democrats the same.

 

But I frankly look now at Boris Johnson, Kemi Badenoch, all of these people, I don’t think they ever really believed in it.

 

I think they used it as a vehicle to win a general election, which I helped them do. They never really believed in it.

 

They always kind of saw it I think a bit more as damage limitation rather than an opportunity.

 

I’m here to say I’m disappointed, you watching this will be disappointed, we can do so much better and we’re the guys to do it.

 

He is also urging voters to let his party “finish the job”.

 

Another anniversary, yet still Brexit has not been properly delivered.

 

The time has come to let those of us who started Brexit in 2016 finish the job.

 

Reform stands ready to do just that in 2029

 

And tonight he is holding a rally in Badenoch’s North West Essex constituency to try to show that his party has more support than hers.

Why Tories think fifth anniversary of Brexit should be celebrated

 


7m ago

10.59 GMT

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2025/jan/31/brexit-politics-tory-kemi-badenoch-priti-patel-keir-starmer-live-latest-news?filterKeyEvents=false&page=with%3Ablock-679cac2b8f082de27d7ffd7a#block-679cac2b8f082de27d7ffd7a

 

Why Tories think fifth anniversary of Brexit should be celebrated

Since only around one person in 10 thinks Brexit has been a success, it is worth recording why the Conservative party says the fifth anniversary is worth celebrating. This is what the party said in the press notice sent out yesterday afternoon by Priti Patel. (See 9.23am.)

 

Five years ago today, Boris Johnson and the Conservative party delivered on the results of the Brexit referendum and secured our departure from the European Union – delivering on the clear democratic will of the country.

 

Since then, our country – standing on its own two feet as a sovereign nation – has been able to achieve so much.

 

This has included 73 trade deals with countries and the EU, including the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, boosting British businesses and lowering prices for consumers.

 

It has also led to the UK ending the supremacy of EU law, putting parliament in control of UK laws, and leading to the reform or revocation of almost 2,500 pieces of arbitrary or burdensome EU law.

 

Outside the EU, and free of their regulations, we have been able to deliver more competitive tax policies, such as cutting VAT on certain products, reduce and simplify tariffs, and make the City more competitive with the Edinburgh Reforms.

 

The UK was also able to take control of its waters and protect our fisherman as an independent coastal state.

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Calls for criminals nationality to be included in security reports

 


Calls for criminals nationality to be included in security reports

 

Immigration experts agree with the inclusion of the nationality of criminals and victims in the Annual Internal Security Report (RASI), but some warn of the need to distinguish immigrants from those who are merely foreigners.

 

By TPN/Lusa, in News, Portugal, Crime · 28 Jan 2025 · 1 Comments

https://www.theportugalnews.com/news/2025-01-28/calls-for-criminals-nationality-to-be-included-in-security-reports/95185#google_vignette

 

In statements to Lusa, jurist Ana Rita Gil and geographer Jorge Malheiros agree with the inclusion of data such as nationality in the RASI, requested by the Liberal Initiative, considering that this, if properly done, can demystify the discourse that links immigrants to criminality.

 

"Nationality is an objective fact, therefore, it does not seem to me that anything in the Constitution opposes this possibility", Ana Rita Gil told Lusa, considering that the measure could "combat prejudices and a narrative that thinks that immigrant populations come to cause more crime".

 

For Jorge Malheiros, having only "nationalities is insufficient information", because "some of the foreign detainees do not reside in Portugal and, therefore, by publishing only nationalities and not having components about residence or intersection with age, it may send the wrong message that certain groups of immigrants are associated with certain criminality."

 

When, in many cases, it may not be immigrants, but people who are passing through Portugal who are committing crimes, mainly in drug and human trafficking cases, "where there is an overrepresentation of foreigners", said the professor at the Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning at the University of Lisbon.

 

 

Including only nationality, "in current times, can very easily fuel a discourse based on incomplete and distorted information", which amounts to "saying that foreigners from certain groups are immigrants" in Portugal, added the researcher.

 

For Ana Rita Gil, professor at Lisbon Public Law (Centre for Research in Public Law at the Faculty of Law of the University of Lisbon), the publication of "objective information" that is nationality will also have the virtue of allowing existing problems to be identified.

 

"If there is indeed a community that commits more crimes than another, it could also be a way for the State to invest in greater integration," she explained, considering that public information should be the rule of a state governed by the rule of law.

 

"Information that is not protected must be transparent," because "we live in a democratic state," she added.

 

Regarding the publication of nationality data in RASI 2024, the Internal Security System has already informed Lusa that it does not intend to introduce changes for the time being.

 

 

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German lawmakers can’t agree whether to seek ban on far-right AfD

 


German lawmakers can’t agree whether to seek ban on far-right AfD

 

Many mainstream leaders worry a pre-election debate on banning Alternative for Germany will only boost the party ahead of a national election.

 

January 30, 2025 4:01 am CET

By Emily Schultheis

 

BERLIN — Will it help or hurt the far right?

 

German parliamentarians are set to debate a hotly contested proposal on banning the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), but there’s little consensus, even among the party’s critics, on whether it’s a good idea to be having such a discussion just weeks ahead of a national election.

 

“It’s important for the population to know that the German Bundestag is grappling with this and is clearly stating where the dangers to democracy come from,” said Carmen Wegge, a lawmaker from the center-left Social Democratic Party (SPD) and one of the sponsors of the proposal.

 

But many mainstream politicians — including some in her own party, like Chancellor Olaf Scholz — have expressed reservations.

 

“The worst thing,” Scholz said recently, would be a prolonged attempts to ban the party “that might end up going wrong.”

 

On Thursday, lawmakers will consider a proposal to direct Germany’s top court to examine whether the AfD is an anti-constitutional party, a first step toward legally banning it under German law.

 

The debate comes as the conservative frontrunner for chancellor, Friedrich Merz, moves to push through tougher migration measures with support from the far right, eroding the Brandmauer, or firewall, that mainstream parties have erected to block the AfD. The taboo-breaking move has sparked an emotional discussion about how to handle the rise of the party.

 

Though the proposal to examine a ban on the AfD has little chance of passing, its backers say they are obliged to use all means available under the German constitution to stop a party they believe poses a grave threat to democracy.

 

But many AfD critics fear the ban debate will play into the hands of the far right by further alienating the party’s many voters — and fueling the AfD narrative that mainstream parties are the ones subverting democracy by scorning the democratic will of their many supporters. The party is polling in second place on 20 percent ahead of a national election set for Feb. 23.

 

“Calls for the AfD to be banned are completely absurd and expose the anti-democratic attitude of those making these demands,” Alice Weidel, the AfD’s chancellor candidate, told POLITICO last year.

 

Never again

Germany’s constitution, which is designed to prevent a repeat of Nazi rule, allows for bans on political parties that attempt to use democratic means to subvert democracy. Any party that seeks to undermine the “free democratic basic order” can therefore be banned.

 

But the bar for banning a party is high, and German courts have only done so twice before: in 1952, for the neofascist Socialist Reich Party, and in 1956, for the Communist Party of Germany. Two more recent efforts to ban the neo-Nazi National Democratic Party (NPD) were unsuccessful.

 

Many AfD critics fear the ban debate will play into the hands of the far right by further alienating the party’s many voters. |

 

The AfD first won seats in the Bundestag in 2017 and has grown increasingly radical in the years since. Elements of the party have been declared extremist by state-level domestic intelligence agencies tasked with monitoring anti-constitutional groups.

 

Calls for a ban intensified early last year following a report that AfD officials had taken part in a secret meeting of right-wing extremists who planned the mass deportation of migrants and “unassimilated citizens.”

 

Backers of the ban — 124 lawmakers including members of the center-left SPD and the Greens as well as the conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) — have nowhere near enough votes to pass the motion on Thursday.

 

But they say the growing influence of the AfD and recent acts of provocation — like handing out mock deportation tickets for migrants as a campaign ploy — make it more critical than ever to spotlight what they regard as the party’s extremism ahead of the national election.

 

Many others warn the only way to defeat the AfD is at the ballot box.

 

“I’m pretty sure there are radical and also extreme elements in the AfD,” conservative parliamentary leader Alexander Dobrindt said at a press conference after the ban proposal was first introduced. “But under no circumstances do I want to give the AfD an additional opportunity to portray itself as the victim.”

 

Nette Nöstlinger contributed reporting.

German politicians debate ban for far-right AfD after divisive vote

 


German politicians debate ban for far-right AfD after divisive vote

DPA

Thu, January 30, 2025 at 8:14 PM GMT+12 min read

https://www.yahoo.com/news/german-politicians-debate-ban-far-191417855.html

 

German members of parliament held an emotional debate about whether to ban the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) on Thursday, after it helped to pass a controversial motion in parliament the previous day demanding hard-line migration reforms.

 

The centre-right Christian Democrats (CDU) on Thursday relied on the AfD to narrowly pass the motion in Germany's Bundestag, or lower house of parliament, causing an outcry just weeks before the country's parliamentary election on February 23.

 

It was the first time that a party has depended on the AfD to form a majority for a vote in the lower house.

 

The vote related to a non-binding five-point plan for a tougher migration policy, which has become a hot-button issue in the German election campaign after a string of attacks attributed to suspects with migrant backgrounds.

 

A cross-party initiative of 120 parliamentarians is asking the Bundestag to apply to Germany's Constitutional Court to ban the AfD.

 

But Thursday's debate on the matter revealed differences of opinion, even across party lines.

 

CDU member Marco Wanderwitz, who leads the initiative, said Germany could no longer tolerate the AfD "without suffering irreparable long-term damage to its very fabric."

 

However, his party colleague Philipp Amthor warned that if the initiative fails, the AfD could "affix a democratic seal of quality to itself that it does not deserve."

 

Meanwhile, Konstantin Kuhle of the Free Democrats said such a move could intensify the sense of alienation that many feel from the institutions of liberal democracy.

 

Another proposal, supported by numerous members of parliament from the Green Party, instead calls for an expert assessment to be conducted to determine whether the AfD is unconstitutional.

 

Green parliamentarian Renate Künast said that in order to ban a party, it must be deemed unconstitutional, not just extremist.

 

The AfD is currently under investigation by Germany's domestic intelligence service as a suspected extremist group.