Cop15 was meant to be nature’s Paris moment, but
Greta Thunberg’s ‘blah, blah, blah’ cry is proving right
The Secret
Negotiator
In Montreal, progress on biodiversity issues has been
slow. We cannot go on like this
Wed 14 Dec
2022 15.00 GMT
Even by the
glacial standards of UN biodiversity negotiations, Cop15 has been slow. We have
been in Montreal for more than a week and I am flabbergasted at the lack of
progress, especially after how important several world leaders said the summit
would be.
There is
still time to turn it around. But there is no political urgency behind the
biodiversity crisis or any desire for transformative change, as far as I can
tell. Greta Thunberg’s “blah, blah, blah” criticism of government negotiations
on the environment is proving right as things stand, unfortunately.
We have
made progress on parts of the agreement that are not so controversial, but we
have left all of the difficult bits to the final few days of a process that has
taken three years. It sets up a dramatic showdown for ministers this weekend
and early next week as Christmas gets closer. Late-night bilaterals and
in-corridor meetings will soon be with us.
Behind
closed doors, countries seem equally dysfunctional. The African group seems
uncoordinated, the Latin Americans appear divided, the Europeans are not being
constructive, the Canadians have not been helpful in talks and the Chinese are
quiet. As ministers arrive in Montreal, these are critical days to sort out the
agreement.
A successful outcome is still possible but we must
start making real progress
We could
probably live with a soggy biscuit deal. Nobody is going to die if that happens
– apart from Earth’s biodiversity. There are not the same main economic
interests here that we see for climate change. But this was meant to be
nature’s Paris moment and it looks like that ambition is being pushed into the
2030s and 2040s.
China is
not providing the leadership we need for a breakthrough at the moment. It has
always been quiet in UN biodiversity negotiations but this is not the normal
role of a Cop president. Politically, a president is responsible for helping to
resolve differences and pushing countries to sort out their divisions. That may
be happening – nobody has perfect information about the state of play at Cop15
– but it does not seem to be the case.
In talks,
China has remained objective and offered no opinions, telling other countries
that they must sort it out between themselves. We cannot go on like this.
Someone needs to step up.
Canada has
done a great job organising Cop15 at the last minute in Montreal. But even
though we’ve heard big commitments from the prime minister, Justin Trudeau, on
a target to protect 30% of the planet, it is not being helpful with the other
parts of negotiations. The UN is doing its best.
We need
political leadership from ministers in the final few days. Someone needs to
build enough political will to make a breakthrough. I cannot see where it is
going to come from as things stand. Yet, if we can do that, an agreement could
be quickly reached. There will have to be late-night negotiations and
early-morning secret talks to make it happen. A successful outcome is still
possible but we must start making real progress. We cannot keep kicking
the can down the road.

Sem comentários:
Enviar um comentário