UK supermarket prices ‘to rise by 5%’ as supply
chain costs increase
CO2 problem not yet taken into account, so there could
be a second wave of rises in new year
Factors including increases in commodity and global
shipping prices, as well as labour, driver and raw material shortages are
having an impact on supermarket suppliers.
Mark Sweney
@marksweney
Fri 24 Sep
2021 12.55 BST
Shoppers
can expect to see a 5% rise in supermarket prices in the coming weeks – with a
potential second wave of increases in the new year – as retailers and suppliers
pass on higher supply chain costs.
David
Sables, the chief executive of Sentinel Management Consultants, which advises
suppliers in their dealings with UK supermarkets, has had an unprecedented
number of inquiries from clients planning cost-price increases.
Suppliers
are facing rising cost pressure because of factors including increases in
commodity and global shipping prices, and the impact of labour, driver and raw
material shortages.
“As a
result, there is such a pressure on suppliers at the moment, as well as the
retailers, to pass those on because the costs simply aren’t sustainable without
some form of cost price increase,” he said, speaking on BBC Radio 4’s Today
programme. “We have never seen this level of suppliers coming to us speaking
about planned cost price increases. I would expect to see across the next six
to eight weeks something like 5% [increases] going across the board on to the
prices on shelves.”
Earlier
this month the supermarket chain Morrisons warned of “industry-wide” price
rises. Analysts at Kantar are already seeing increases at supermarkets,
recording a 1.3% rise this month, almost four times the 0.4% rise reported in
August. Consumer goods companies such as Nestlé, Procter & Gamble and
Unilever have also said they will be forced to increase their prices as supply
chain problems persist.
Sables said
the 5% increase in supermarket prices did not take into account the new added
pressure of rises in CO2 pricing as supplies dwindle – suppliers give
supermarkets about 10 to 12 weeks’ notice of intended price rises – which could
mean further pain for shoppers early next year.
“There is a
chance now that when you add in extra fuel hikes, and the CO2 issue, that hits
prices as well,” he said. “It may be that suppliers go a second time on their
prices after Christmas.”

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