Brent
crude hits $116 a barrel as Trump threatens to ‘blow up’ Iran’s oilwells and
export hub
Investors
nervous over escalation of Middle East conflict as US president says he wants
to ‘take the oil in Iran’
Lauren
Almeida
Mon 30
Mar 2026 15.06 BST
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/mar/30/price-of-oil-trump-iran-stock-markets-middle-east
The price
of oil hit nearly $117 (£89) a barrel on Monday as Donald Trump threatened to
“blow up” and “completely obliterate” Iranian electricity plants, oilwells and
its export hub Kharg Island if it did not agree to a deal.
Brent
crude rose after the US president wrote on his social media platform Truth
Social that if a deal was not agreed and the strait of Hormuz was not reopened,
the US would take further action.
He wrote:
“We will conclude our lovely ‘stay’ in Iran by blowing up and completely
obliterating all of their Electric Generating Plants, Oil Wells and Kharg
Island (and possibly all desalinization plants!), which we have purposefully
not yet ‘touched’ …
“This
will be in retribution for our many soldiers, and others, that Iran has
butchered and killed over the old Regime’s 47 year ‘Reign of Terror’.”
Jerome
Powell, the US Federal Reserve chair and a regular target of the president’s
ire, claimed on Monday that the central bank was in a “good place … to wait and
see” how the economic fallout of the war on Iran unfolds. But he cautioned that
policymakers would monitor two conflicting factors – the stability of both the
US workforce and prices – as they consider what to do with interest rates.
“There’s
sort of downside risk to the labor market, which suggests keep rates low, but
there’s upside risk to inflation, which suggests maybe don’t keep rates low,”
Powell said during a Q&A session at Harvard University. “You’ve got tension
between the two objectives.”
Trump,
who has repeatedly provided conflicting signals around the aims and possible
duration of the conflict, threatened to seize the Iranian export hub of Kharg
Island in an interview with the Financial Times on Sunday.
Trump
said: “To be honest with you, my favourite thing is to take the oil in Iran,
but some stupid people back in the US say: ‘Why are you doing that?’ But
they’re stupid people.
“Maybe we
take Kharg Island, maybe we don’t. We have a lot of options,” he said.
The oil
price rose by 2% to $116.89 a barrel in early trading on Monday – not far off
the $119.50 highest level since the US-Israel war with Iran started on 28
February – before later dipping to $112 a barrel. In Europe, stock markets rose
slightly, with the European Stoxx 600 index rising by 0.9%. The UK’s blue-chip
FTSE 100 share index rose 1.6%.
In the
US, the S&P 500 and Dow Jones were up slightly in early afternoon trading
on Wall Street. The tech-heavy Nasdaq was roughly flat.
Natural
gas prices rose slightly in Europe on Monday. Dutch month-ahead futures rose 1%
to €54.70 a megawatt-hour.
In Asia,
where economies are highly exposed to the shortage in oil and gas coming out of
the Gulf, stock markets dropped sharply before Trump’s latest post. Japan’s
Nikkei fell by 2.8%, while the South Korean Kospi dropped 3%. Hong Kong’s Hang
Seng index shed about 0.8%.
Investors
have grown increasingly nervous as the conflict in the Middle East has
escalated in recent days as a further 3,500 US troops have arrived in the
Middle East. Houthi rebels in Yemen have now also entered the conflict, firing
ballistic missiles at Israeli sites in a dangerous spread of the war that could
also worsen the global energy crisis.
“There’s
still no sign of a clear end to the conflict, and given the various headlines,
investors remain fearful about a fresh escalation,” analysts at Deutsche Bank
said.
The war
in the Middle East has ramped up oil prices to historic levels, with Brent
crude now poised for its biggest monthly gain ever in March – up by 54% –
beating the previous record of 46% in September 1990 after Saddam Hussein
invaded Kuwait.
The
disruption has fed through to prices at the petrol pump. The breakdown company
RAC found that average petrol prices in the UK are now at 152p a litre, the
highest level in 28 months. Diesel has reached 181.2p a litre, its highest
level since December 2022, the RAC said. Industry figures have warned that
there could be “temporary shortages” at petrol pumps in the UK.
Keir
Starmer was expected to hold talks on Monday afternoon with bosses from Shell,
BP and the Norwegian energy company Equinor, as well as executives from the
finance, insurance and shipping industries, about the crisis in the Middle
East. The UK prime minister was expected to discuss what emergency measures
might be needed to contain the crisis from the blockade in the strait of
Hormuz.
Brent
traded as high as $119.50 a barrel during March, its highest level since June
2022, after Iran all but closed the strait, through which a fifth of global oil
and gas would normally pass.
Ipek
Ozkardeskaya, a senior analyst at Swissquote, said: “There are bets that crude
could rise to $150 and even to the $200 per barrel level if the war doesn’t end
quickly. I believe that demand would be heavily hit if prices go that high.
Above $120-130 per barrel, global recession odds would take the upper hand and
tame upside pressure.”
Aluminium
prices jumped more than 5% in Asia after Iran struck aluminium producers in
Bahrain and the UAE over the weekend, she added.
Meanwhile,
the UK chancellor, Rachel Reeves, is expected to tell G7 nations that they must
move faster on clean energy to insulate economies against global price shocks
from oil and gas, as she and the energy secretary, Ed Miliband, virtually meet
G7 finance and energy ministers on Monday.
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