Opinion
Bret
Stephens
Gesture
Politics Won’t Help Palestinians
Sept. 9,
2025
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/09/opinion/gesture-politics-wont-help-palestinians.html
Bret
Stephens
By Bret
Stephens
Opinion
Columnist
This
month, France, Canada, Australia and possibly Britain will recognize a
Palestinian state at the United Nations General Assembly. Also, some 1,800
actors and filmmakers, including Mark Ruffalo and Cynthia Nixon, have signed a
public letter pledging “not to screen films, appear at or otherwise work with
Israeli film institutions.” And the government of Spain imposed an arms embargo
on Israel.
Will a
single Gazan be helped in any meaningful way by any of this? No. Will Israel be
hurt? Not particularly. Will it exacerbate Western antisemitism? More than
likely.
After
Madrid announced its embargo, I wondered what weapons, if any, did it sell to
Israel. None, as far as I can discover. But, at least until this month’s
declaration, Spain was an eager customer for Israeli military equipment, to the
tune of over one billion euros between October 2023 and last April. Even after
Spain decided to cancel a purchase of Israeli anti-tank missiles, it must still
rely on Israeli cybersecurity and A.I. technology.
My advice
to Israel, which last year surpassed Spain to become the world’s eighth-largest
arms exporter: Reciprocate the embargo fully. Losing those service contracts
would weaken Spain’s protection against terrorism. Let Madrid hope that its
anti-Israel posturing will keep the threat at bay.
Now take
the rest of the list.
France’s
announcement in July that it would recognize a Palestinian state will do
nothing to bring one into being. Its main effect so far was to provide a
diplomatic victory for Hamas, which allegedly responded by hardening its
negotiating stance with Israel over releasing its hostages, while prompting
right-wing Israeli lawmakers to push harder for territorial annexation in the
West Bank.
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As for
the wished-for boycott of the Israeli film industry, it would only harm the
side of Israel least in sympathy with the government of Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu. It also smacks of an ugly double standard: Do Ruffalo and friends
also call for boycotts of, say, Iranian or Chinese arts institutions in protest
of the policies of their governments?
Also this
month, a flotilla of small ships, with the Swedish activist Greta Thunberg
among the passengers, will attempt to breach an Israeli naval blockade and
reach Gaza with a symbolic amount of humanitarian aid. Her second attempt will
probably end exactly as the first one did: in the rear seat of a plane out of
Tel Aviv, bringing more attention to herself than her cause.
What,
then, do these gestures accomplish? The legitimate needs of the Palestinian
people are these: an end to this war; an end to being dragged into future wars
by Hamas; an end to the chronic misgovernance of the Palestinian Authority; the
establishment of a self-governing political order that improves the lives of
Palestinians without endangering the lives of Israelis; the eventual creation,
under conditions of mutual trust, of a Palestinian state.
Immediate
recognition of such a state advances none of this. It is the proverbial cart
before the horse. France and its fellow travelers aren’t aiming to do much to
help actual Palestinians. Mainly, they seek to congratulate themselves.
Countries achieve irrelevance when moral onanism takes the place of serious
policy as the principal instrument of national policy.
Nor does
it do anything to change Israelis’ minds. Somewhere near the center of the
Israeli psyche lies the thought: The world is out to get us. Save for some
shining exceptions, much that’s happened since Oct. 7, 2023, has proved them
right: Being accused of genocide the same month they were grotesquely
massacred. Watching a pogrom unfold on the streets of Amsterdam. Seeing elderly
Jews burned alive in Colorado. Becoming the singular object of a global protest
movement that’s utterly indifferent when our NATO ally Turkey bombs Kurds or
Syrian forces massacre Alawites.
An excess
of fear can lead to serious mistakes, and we’ll find out soon if Israel’s
strike on Hamas’s leaders in Qatar was one of them. But if Israel’s usual
critics can’t be bothered to appreciate the seriousness of the threat Israelis
face daily — from Houthi drones, Palestinian gunmen, Hezbollah rocket fire
displacing tens of thousands of Israelis or Israeli women being raped and
slaughtered by Hamas — they will have no influence over Israeli thinking or
behavior. In their one-sided vehemence, they write themselves out of any
meaningful conversation about the Palestinian future.
So what
effect do anti-Israel gesture politics actually have?
From
Montreal to Paris to Melbourne, diaspora Jews are living through the worst era
of open antisemitism since the 1930s. Leaders like Canada’s Mark Carney,
France’s Emmanuel Macron and Australia’s Anthony Albanese are no doubt sincere
in condemning this. But they are also contributing to a climate of anti-Jewish
demonization by treating Israel as a quasi-pariah state whose presumptive
supporters can be viewed as guilty accomplices. In their virtue-signaling
foreign policy, they are inflicting genuine harms on their own Jewish citizens.
Long
term, the Jews will survive this — as we always have. The history of
governments that sought to win political favor by harming the Jews is usually a
story of disgrace and decline.


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