CORONAVIRUS
Pfizer delivers final blow to Trump's hope for
preelection vaccine
There won’t be a coronavirus vaccine ready before
Election Day, despite President Donald Trump’s repeated promises and vaccine
makers’ breakneck speed.
Pfizer announced Friday it would not seek emergency
authorization from the Food and Drug Administration for a coronavirus vaccine
before the third week of November.
By SARAH
OWERMOHLE
10/16/2020
01:24 PM EDT
Updated:
10/16/2020 01:59 PM EDT
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/16/pfizer-no-vaccine-trump-election-429843
There won’t
be a coronavirus vaccine ready before Election Day, despite President Donald
Trump’s repeated promises and vaccine makers’ breakneck speed.
The
president’s last best hope for meeting that deadline fizzled Friday as Pfizer
announced that it would not seek emergency authorization from the Food and Drug
Administration before the third week of November. The company is the only
frontrunner in the vaccine race that has said it could have proof its vaccine works
by Nov. 3.
For Trump,
the failure to meet that deadline is a self-inflicted defeat. The Election Day
target was always an artificial one, created by a president who for months has
touted it on the campaign trail and press briefing stage. When his
administration’s top scientists disputed the timeline, Trump accused them of
slowing down progress for political reasons.
In the
meantime, dozens of companies, universities and government agencies are working
at record speed — cutting years off the normal development process to deliver a
vaccine for the virus that has killed nearly 220,000 people in the U.S. and 1
million worldwide. That historic push is still on track to deliver a vaccine by
early 2021, roughly a year after the virus first emerged.
"It
was never going to happen. It was utterly unrealistic," said Lawrence
Gostin, director of the WHO Collaborating Center on National and Global Health
Law at Georgetown University. "Vaccines follow a timeline of good science,
they don’t follow a timeline of electoral politics."
Since the
beginning of the pandemic, federal health officials including infectious
disease expert Anthony Fauci, CDC Director Robert Redfield and Health and Human
Services Secretary Alex Azar have said that a vaccine is most likely by the end
of the year or early 2021.
But those
projections have always been riddled with caveats. Enrollment in clinical
trials to test the shots’ safety and efficacy does not always proceed as
quickly as companies would like. Too few people in those trials may be exposed
to the virus, delaying the collection of crucial data. And the studies may find
that a vaccine is dangerous — or simply doesn’t work.
“Nature is
hard. You can’t use your political rhetoric to bamboozle nature,” said Ezekiel
Emanuel, chair of the Department of Medical Ethics and Health Policy at the
University of Pennsylvania and an adviser to Democratic presidential candidate
Joe Biden. Emanuel penned a letter to Pfizer this month with dozens of
scientists raising concerns about speeding the vaccine before safety data was
clear.
Two
manufacturers, AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson, recently paused clinical
trials after each reported a serious illness in their studies. While J&J
only halted the trials this week, AstraZeneca still has not resumed U.S.
studies that stopped in September.
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Executives
at Moderna, another frontrunner whose vaccine relies on a still-unproven
technology, has said it will not be ready to submit an emergency authorization
application to FDA until late November. Pfizer, meanwhile, continues to expand
its trial — first to enroll thousands more adults, and most recently to include
teens. Those moves could further push back its timeline, because the FDA
expects companies applying for emergency authorization to submit two months of
data on at least half of trial participants.
"Just
because we are waiting until the end of the year instead of October — just to
keep things in perspective, this is still a land speed record for
vaccines," said Peter Hotez, a virologist and dean of the National School
of Tropical Medicine at the Baylor College of Medicine. Hotez has worked on
several shots including a potential SARS vaccine, each of which has taken years
if not decades of work to develop and test.
But the
rapid pace of coronavirus shot development thus far hasn’t satisfied Trump,
whose administration has put the quest for a vaccine at the center of its
pandemic response efforts.
“We'll have
the vaccine soon, maybe before a special date. You know what date I'm talking
about," he said in an early September news conference. When FDA pushed to
beef up its standards for authorizing emergency use of coronavirus vaccines, he
called it "a political move more than anything else."
The agency
revised its guidance to make sure drug makers submitted enough data to reveal
any side effects from their shots, Hotez said. It "wasn’t done to punish
the president, it was done to protect the public to ensure that we have
vaccines that work and are safe," he said.
As vaccine
timelines turned hazy, Trump turned his attentions to drugs known as monoclonal
anitbodies. He declared an experimental antibody by drug a "cure"
earlier this month, after receiving the treatment during his hospitalization for
Covid-19. The president has repeatedly promised the cocktails will soon be
available to every American who needs them.
Yet within
a week of his initial promise, Eli Lilly — the other company with an antibody
drug in late-stage clinical trials — paused its studies over safety concerns.
The bumps
on the road to a vaccine or an antibody drug leave health officials with tools
that Trump and other White House officials have long questioned: mask-wearing,
social distancing and widespread testing.
Trump’s antibody
rhetoric “was a pivot when it was clear that the vaccines weren’t going to fill
his timeline. And its quite clear that the antibodies aren’t going to fill his
timeline either,” said Emanuel.
But the
longer timeline for vaccines could help public confidence in an eventual shot.
Most registered voters want manufacturers to fully test vaccines even if it
delays delivering the shots to Americans, according to a recent
POLITICO/Morning Consult poll.
Nearly half
of those voters, across party affiliations, said they believe Trump is
pressuring FDA to deliver shots sooner and 35 percent believe it will be at
least six months before vaccines are available in the U.S.
Continuing
a theme from earlier poll, voters also said they still trust Biden more than
Trump on vaccine development, testing and approval.
"The
election and the vaccine have nothing to do with one another," Gostin
said. "They are both important but they are entirely different. Science is
not an election issue. It should be something that everybody, irrespective of
your political beliefs, should stand behind. Because it’s the only thing that
will bring us out of this."


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