Analysis
Trump
appears not to know the difference between making a deal and making peace
Peter
Beaumont
US
president’s efforts under harsh spotlight as Rwanda-DRC deal and
Thailand-Cambodia mediations waver
Mon 8 Dec
2025 16.33 CET
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/dec/08/donald-trump-difference-making-deal-and-making-peace
For the
sake of anyone confused by Donald Trump’s apparently supernatural abilities as
a global peacemaker – for which he was given the inaugural (and perhaps only)
Fifa “peace prize” – current events have intervened to offer some
clarification.
Trump has
claimed a number of dubious diplomatic successes on the international peace
front, among them a freshly signed deal between Rwanda and the Democratic
Republic of the Congo, mediating in Thailand and Cambodia’s deadly border
dispute, and the Gaza “ceasefire”.
In the
space of a few hours on Monday, however, those claims were thrown under a harsh
spotlight even as Trump and his officials continued to try to pressure Ukraine
into rewarding Russia for an illegal international aggression by surrendering
its sovereign territory.
On
Monday, fighting broke out once again between Thai and Cambodian forces, the
heaviest since a ceasefire in the summer. In the Great Lakes region too, a deal
freshly inked in Washington between Rwanda and the DRC was also struggling,
with the Congolese president, Felix Tshisekedi, telling lawmakers in a speech
that Rwanda was already violating its commitments under a peace deal mediated
by Washington. In Gaza, meanwhile, conditions remain as desperate as ever for
Palestinians among almost daily attacks.
Even if
one is tempted to credit Trump’s self-professed efforts as a peacemaker (as
part of which he has renamed the United States Institute of Peace after
himself) foreign policy experts categorise peace in two competing ways first
conceptualised by the late Johan Galtung, the Norwegian sociologist and prime
mover behind the emergence of the discipline of peace and conflict studies.
Galtung
and others see two kinds of peace. The first is what is known as negative
peace: in the absence of direct violence, the underlying tensions and
unresolved issues still exist, making the peace fragile and prone to episodic
outbreaks of conflict.
A classic
example of a negative peace is the long-running tension between India and
Pakistan, which has resulted in episodic fighting (and is, needless to say, one
of the crises Trump claims to have solved.)
Positive
peace, as envisaged by Galtung, is far more taxing on participants and
mediators, and addresses underlying issues, structural violence, and
inequalities affecting the populations in conflict.
The
reality, as critics have pointed out since Trump was given his medal and trophy
by the Fifa president, Gianni Infantino, is that most of what Trump and his
team are involved in is not even properly categorisable as working towards even
a negative peace.
The
business that Trump and his envoys are in is dealmaking, a fundamentally
transactional affair and very different from the hard slog of mediated peace
processes.
As Arthur
Boutellis wrote in an essay for the Global Observatory of the International
Peace Institute in October: “Dealmakers bring valuable skills to peace
mediation, including pragmatism, persistence and a results-oriented mindset.
“Yet
there is a fundamental difference between dealmaking and peacemaking. In the
business world, dealmaking focuses on bargaining between positions. It is
inherently transactional, zero-sum and contractual: one party transfers
ownership to another in exchange for payment.
“Peacemaking,
by contrast, seeks to shift parties from bargaining over fixed positions to
addressing their underlying interests and needs in pursuit of durable ‘win-win’
outcomes. It aims to build trust, transform relationships and address the
structural and historical injustices that gave rise to conflict.”
When it
comes to peace efforts, Trump’s instincts are more performative than interested
in hard graft. The handshake and the signing matter more than an inclusive
process and a durable and fair peace, perhaps not surprising given his own
record in business, where winning is seen as everything.
Most
dangerous of all is that this lack of commitment is transparently obvious to
all involved, turning negotiations into long-winded exercises in bad faith,
where the game is to be able to trade recriminations over failure, and a
mediator (in the shape of Trump) who is often the most unreliable and bad faith
actor.

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